SC - Quinnipiac: Trump+1 (user search)
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  SC - Quinnipiac: Trump+1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: SC - Quinnipiac: Trump+1  (Read 5845 times)
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
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*****
Posts: 19,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« on: September 30, 2020, 01:11:01 PM »

And this was BEFORE the debate.

LOL

Biden is up by more in Georgia than Trump is in South Carolina LOL
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #1 on: September 30, 2020, 01:11:13 PM »

Trump is destroying the entire Reagan/Bush southern coalition ugh

Good riddance!
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #2 on: September 30, 2020, 01:18:28 PM »

Trump is destroying the entire Reagan/Bush southern coalition ugh
This could be the realigning election we've been waiting for.  All of that fanfiction on this website may be coming to pass.


It would also make the “40 year cycle” theory even more right. There are already several noted similarities between this election and 1980. If it’s a realigning election too, will be even more similar.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #3 on: September 30, 2020, 02:57:04 PM »

Can you even imagine how this forum would react if a poll came out showing Biden only up 1 in Illinois!

Because that’s roughly the equivalent to this.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #4 on: September 30, 2020, 03:29:40 PM »

Quinnipiac is quickly becoming a joke. There’s no way Trump is up 5 in Texas (or up at all) if he’s up only 1 in SC

Margins of error, outliers, etc.

No individual poll can be taken as gospel, and comparing one poll directly to another of a different state is not a meaningful exercise. It doesn’t prove the pollster as a whole is terrible just because the results of two polls don’t meet your priors sitting next to each other.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #5 on: September 30, 2020, 05:41:45 PM »

Quinnipiac is slowly becoming Democrats' Trafalgar poll. Yeah, Trump is losing but there is zero chance SC will be in like 5 pts.

Would not be so sure. Biden losing by low single digits or even winning narrowly seem like very real possibilities now.

No one believed Texas would swing as hard as it did or be as close as it was in 2018 either.

It can never happen until it does...
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