Partisan firms like Trafalgar exists in part to generate positive spin for their associated political party. If they're wildly off the mark this cycle it would seriously damage their credibility next cycle and people might stop reading them.
For this reason, I am curious as to whether Trafalgar will begin to produce numbers that are closer to the national media and academic pollsters around the end of the election season so as to retain their credibility for next time, in case there isn't a significant R bias in most state polling this cycle.
Typically all they have to do is pick the winning team. If a Republican wins by 2 and they had the Democrat ahead by 1, that'd be seen by many as more egregious of an error than if they had the Republican up by 10. I wonder if all these Biden +1 or +2 results are their way of being on what they expect to be the winning side in order to maintain credibility.
