GA - Civiqs/Daily Kos: Ossoff +2%, Warnock leads Collins by 13%; runoffs

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://www.dailykos.com/story/2020/9/29/1981768/-Warnock-surges-to-Georgia-Senate-special-election-lead-Dems-all-looking-good-Civiqs-poll

September 26-29

Warnock 38%
Collins 25%
Loeffler 21%
Lieberman 5%
Tarver 2%
Someone else 1%
Unsure 7%

Collins 44%
Lieberman 39%

Lieberman 39%
Loeffler 39%

Warnock 49%
Collins 44%

Warnock 49%
Loeffler 39%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Fuller release:

https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_GA_banner_book_2020_09_y983ce.pdf

969 likely voters
MoE: 3.5%

Ossoff vs Perdue
In addition to previous #s: Hazel (L) 3%

Runoffs
Feature "Someone else" as an option which is a little bizarre (I'm guessing write-ins/spoilt ballots/"I would only vote if [X] was in the runoff are what is going on here).

Lieberman vs Collins
Someone else 13%
Unsure 5%

Lieberman vs Loeffler
Someone else 17%
Unsure 5%

Warnock vs Collins
Someone else 4%
Unsure 4%

Warnock vs Loeffler
Someone else 8%
Unsure 4%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Hard to see what Lieberman gains by staying in at this point.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Everybody say thank you to obama!

For the 1000th time:
"Thanks, Obama"

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Hard to see what Lieberman gains by staying in at this point.

He erases any chance of Warnock crossing 50% unless Biden is landsliding. Gotta appease his GOP bosses, guy isn't going anywhere

I think that Lieberman should drop out and lose, but I highly doubt Lieberman is being paid by the GOP, and even if Lieberman wasn't running, I doubt Warnock would cross 50%.

This. There are other similarly credible candidates on the ballot for Democratic voters - the Libertarian, the Green, an independent with a track record here (Al Bartell), a Democratic state legislator running as an independent and Democrats Ed Tarver and Richard Din Winfield. Those are just the most prominent candidates for Democratic-leaning voters in a sprawling field.

I’d say this race is a textbook example of failure to cull the field.