GA-Quinnipiac: Biden +3

[Lief 🗽]

Not going to link to the tweets, because they’re pathetic, but Nate Cohn is already throwing a tantrum about this poll!

Beautiful numbers though.

[Buzz]

Quinnipiac is an embarrassing pollster at this point.

Maybe one day you’ll say it enough times to actually believe it yourself

Ok.  I will make sure you and I revisit all these Q polls on 11/4 just to see how accurate they were....

[Existing in the context]

Quinnipiac is an embarrassing pollster at this point.

[Interlocutor]

Red avatars: if you want to believe this poll, you’ll also have to believe their poll showing Biden up 21 in ME and down 5 in TX.

I take it you're not a believer in "Throw it in the Average"

[Gass3268]

Massive support for Roe v Wade in Georgia.

https://twitter.com/NilesGApol/status/1311006617316581379?s=20

[ExSky]

Quinnipiac is an embarrassing pollster at this point.

Maybe one day you’ll say it enough times to actually believe it yourself

Ok.  I will make sure you and I revisit all these Q polls on 11/4 just to see how accurate they were....

Don’t kid yourself. You’ll ghost the forum after Biden cracks 350.

[Buzz]

Quinnipiac is an embarrassing pollster at this point.

let me go cherry pick 3 Traflagars polls from 2016 if we are playing that game then.  Smh

[Pollster]

All of the numbers in this poll look remarkably similar to everything we’ve pulled out of Georgia since the conventions.

[VAR]

Quinnipiac is an embarrassing pollster at this point.

let me go cherry pick 3 Traflagars polls from 2016 if we are playing that game then.  Smh

I rarely agree with Buzz (especially his predictions) but he has a point.

[Buzz]

Quinnipiac was the worst pollster for Georgia in 2016..... buts let’s call this poll good!

[VAR]

Red avatars: if you want to believe this poll, you’ll also have to believe their poll showing Biden up 21 in ME and down 5 in TX.

I take it you're not a believer in "Throw it in the Average"

No, it’s just that I thought ultraviolet’s post was annoying.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Not going to link to the tweets, because they’re pathetic, but Nate Cohn is already throwing a tantrum about this poll!

Beautiful numbers though.

I don't know, Nate's comments seem reasonable to me.  Q-pac *has* shown a distinct D lean since 2018.  But he's pointing out that they could well turn out to be right in the end.

[libertpaulian]

What I find most interesting is Trump still has the advantage among college whites here.

[RFKFan68]

Ossoff clinching 50% and a Warnock/Loeffler run off will be amazing!

I am confident that Biden will win GA regardless since he doesn't need to hit 50.

[ExSky]

[/img]

Quinnipiac is an embarrassing pollster at this point.

let me go cherry pick 3 Traflagars polls from 2016 if we are playing that game then.  Smh

The same trafalgar that has Kemp up 12 in 2018 right before the election? That’s the pollster you’re trying to tie Quinnipiac to? You probably actually believed that tbh...

[Holmes]

What I find most interesting is Trump still has the advantage among college whites here.

Well it is a southern state and they are still white voters.

[Buzz]

[/img]

Quinnipiac is an embarrassing pollster at this point.

let me go cherry pick 3 Traflagars polls from 2016 if we are playing that game then.  Smh

The same trafalgar that has Kemp up 12 in 2018 right before the election? That’s the pollster you’re trying to tie Quinnipiac to? You probably actually believed that tbh...

Quinnipiac had Nelson and Gillum up 7 points in Florida and said Trump and Hillary were tied in GA in 2016, so yes I am.

[Alben Barkley]

What I find most interesting is Trump still has the advantage among college whites here.

If Southern college whites voted like Northern college whites, this election would be over and Trump wouldn’t have even a faint chance.

Still, they have shifted considerably to the left like college whites across the board. Just not quite as quickly or dramatically.

The nearly 60% support for Row v. Wade in GA is what really surprises me here. If the times are a-changin’ that much in the South, it’s not hard at all to imagine that within a few years just crying “ABORTION!” won’t work for the GOP in the South anymore. Combine that with continued trends among college/suburban whites away from them and less racial polarization with newer generations of voters, and they’re in real trouble.

[lfromnj]

https://www.ajc.com/news/state--regional-govt--politics/ajc-poll-georgians-support-roe-wade-split-heartbeat-bill/jWr5L1S5kooo7akOCkfzGM/
Poll from last year.
Im telling y'all the Roe polls are BS. This poll somehow had 49/44 opposition for the heartbeat bill yet somehow Roe had massive support at 70% THE AVERAGE VOTER DOES NOT UNDERSTAND ROE and it is stupid to cite Roe v Wade polling that people support you.

[tagimaucia]

It's a bit dishonest to compare a poll that was conducted 2-3 weeks before the 2016 election to the final result, isn't it?  Especially when everyone knows that the national polls moved over that time period.

I do trust most of the other recent pollsters in this state more than Quinnipiac though.  

Complete toss-up.

[Existing in the context]

[/img]

Quinnipiac is an embarrassing pollster at this point.

let me go cherry pick 3 Traflagars polls from 2016 if we are playing that game then.  Smh

The same trafalgar that has Kemp up 12 in 2018 right before the election? That’s the pollster you’re trying to tie Quinnipiac to? You probably actually believed that tbh...

Quinnipiac had Nelson and Gillum up 7 points in Florida and said Trump and Hillary were tied in GA in 2016, so yes I am.

Why is every election about 2016? Name one race Traflagar got right post-2016 not named Florida.

[tagimaucia]

Also, the undecideds in pretty much every Georgia poll really do look good for Biden.  But who knows whether those are really "undecideds" or just non-voters.

[ON Progressive]

[Yoda]

The most striking feature of this poll is that Biden is at 50%.

That's nice and important of course, but for me personally it's the fact that Lieberman's supporters are finally abandoning him for Warnock. Good riddance.

[redjohn]

Like I have in my prediction, I think GA votes to the left of both FL+NC and goes for Biden this year.