pbrower2a
Atlas Star
Posts: 26,839
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« on: September 29, 2020, 10:56:54 AM » |
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Trump will win North Dakota, but not as decisively as he did in 2016. This is about as clear an indicator that Trump has lost at least 5% of the popular vote from 2016, which puts him in roughly the same position as Jimmy Carter in 1980. Politically, North Dakota seems about what Texas would be (oil, farming, and ranching) without the giant cities and the large minority groups. Texas has a chance of going D and North Dakota doesn't.
South Dakota might be more interesting, but all in all we need to know how the 'safe' states go so that we can calibrate change in others.
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