Bexar County (TX) / KSAT / FM3 Research: Biden +17

[Tender Branson]

https://www.ksat.com/news/local/2020/09/29/bexar-facts-poll-joe-biden-leads-donald-trump-52-35-among-likely-bexar-county-voters

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Unofficially one of the most mispronounced large counties in the nation

[VAR]

Yeah no. O’Rourke won this county by 20 points.

[Tender Branson]

The poll was conducted among registered Bexar County voters from Sept. 17-21 by phone and online in English (98%) and Spanish (2%) and has a 4% margin of error.

https://www.bexarfacts.org/category/poll-4-results/

Beto +20 in 2018.

[TwinFallsDemocrat]

Was D+13.4 in 2016, and D+4.5 in 2012.

In 2018 it was D+6.4 in the gubernatorial race and D+19.9 in the senate race. If this is true we're looking at something closer to TX-SEN 2018 statewide.

[หมูเด้ง]

It just reflects the state of the race. Will men of color "come home" or vote of Trump because of "Men's Rights"? If they "come home", it won't even be close. If Trump seals the deal with them, he will probably win, but not by as much as last time.

[redjohn]

Biden winning TX would be a giant upset at this point. Not nearly impossible, but Trump probably carries the state by a slim margin.

[Paul Biya isn’t going far enough]

Maybe they should have a larger Spanish sample considering the county...

[Tender Branson]

Notice the huge amount of undecided among Indys, while partisans are all decided.

[forza nocta]

Unofficially one of the most mispronounced large counties in the nation

Well how is it pronounced? To me it looks like Becks-r

[Paul Biya isn’t going far enough]

The fact that mainly males are undecided is extremely concerning.

[TwinFallsDemocrat]

Notice the huge amount of undecided among Indys, while partisans are all decided.

Are these the people who think "Oh Trump isn't an effective leader, is corrupt, and has mismanaged COVID, but he said Biden has dementia so I don't know who to vote for"?

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Unofficially one of the most mispronounced large counties in the nation

Well how is it pronounced? To me it looks like Becks-r

That's the common mispronunciation. 

It's pronounced "Bear".

[Tender Branson]

Unofficially one of the most mispronounced large counties in the nation

Well how is it pronounced? To me it looks like Becks-r

That's the common mispronunciation. 

It's pronounced "Bear".

What ?

[Holmes]

Unofficially one of the most mispronounced large counties in the nation

Well how is it pronounced? To me it looks like Becks-r

That's the common mispronunciation. 

It's pronounced "Bear".

What ?

It’s Spanish.

[forza nocta]

Unofficially one of the most mispronounced large counties in the nation

Well how is it pronounced? To me it looks like Becks-r

That's the common mispronunciation. 

It's pronounced "Bear".

oh wow lol I would have never guessed Bear

[Tender Branson]

Unofficially one of the most mispronounced large counties in the nation

Well how is it pronounced? To me it looks like Becks-r

That's the common mispronunciation. 

It's pronounced "Bear".

What ?

It’s Spanish.

Still don’t get it ... why do you leave out the x ?

[Dr. Arch]

Unofficially one of the most mispronounced large counties in the nation

Well how is it pronounced? To me it looks like Becks-r

That's the common mispronunciation. 

It's pronounced "Bear".

What ?

It’s Spanish.

It's perplexing because, even in Spanish, that "x" would be some sort of fricative, closer to "Be-har," but it seems that locals have completely elided it, resulting in a reanalysis as a monosyllabic anglicized noun.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Unofficially one of the most mispronounced large counties in the nation

Well how is it pronounced? To me it looks like Becks-r

That's the common mispronunciation.  

It's pronounced "Bear".

What ?

It’s Spanish.

It's perplexing because, even in Spanish, that "x" would be some sort of fricative, closer to "Be-har," but it seems that locals have completely elided it, resulting in a reanalysis as a monosyllabic anglicized noun.

Another thread successfully de-railed.  

My work here is done.  

Seriously though, if you say "BAYHER" fast enough, it sounds like "BEAR".  My guess is that the pronunciation just morphed over time. 

[roxas11]

Notice the huge amount of undecided among Indys, while partisans are all decided.

Are these the people who think "Oh Trump isn't an effective leader, is corrupt, and has mismanaged COVID, but he said Biden has dementia so I don't know who to vote for"?

So in other words if Biden does well in this upcoming debate and proves their perceptions about him wrong...... than trump would be in even more trouble with these same voters

[Holmes]

Unofficially one of the most mispronounced large counties in the nation

Well how is it pronounced? To me it looks like Becks-r

That's the common mispronunciation.  

It's pronounced "Bear".

What ?

It’s Spanish.

It's perplexing because, even in Spanish, that "x" would be some sort of fricative, closer to "Be-har," but it seems that locals have completely elided it, resulting in a reanalysis as a monosyllabic anglicized noun.

Yup, same happens with places/streets with Spanish names here in California too.

[Tender Branson]

Is it similar to the new-school term „Latinx“ ?

That’s not a real word IMO.

I’d just say Latino or Latina instead.

[Kuumo]

Unofficially one of the most mispronounced large counties in the nation

Well how is it pronounced? To me it looks like Becks-r

That's the common mispronunciation. 

It's pronounced "Bear".

What ?

It’s Spanish.

It's perplexing because, even in Spanish, that "x" would be some sort of fricative, closer to "Be-har," but it seems that locals have completely elided it, resulting in a reanalysis as a monosyllabic anglicized noun.

Another thread successfully de-railed. 

My work here is done. 

Funny. I’ve heard different people in central Texas pronounce it “Bear” and “Bay-har.”

[Crumpets]

Wait, so we actually do use a kind-of Spanish pronunciation for Bexar, but we still have Am-uh-rill-oh, New May-drid, Muh-die-nuh, and duh-moin?

[Dr. Arch]

Is it similar to the new-school term „Latinx“ ?

That’s not a real word IMO.

I’d just say Latino or Latina instead.

No, it's part of sound change over time, particularly in a region that has experienced significant historical language shift (Spanish→English). Similar placename effects are observable all around the world with similar historical language contexts, as Holmes pointed out above.

Source: I'm a linguist, and this is an aspect of one of the sub-fields that I work on.