Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight: mean Biden support at 50%, mean Trump support at 38%
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  Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight: mean Biden support at 50%, mean Trump support at 38%
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Author Topic: Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight: mean Biden support at 50%, mean Trump support at 38%  (Read 1095 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
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« on: September 29, 2020, 08:48:04 AM »

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-09/topline-538-pre-presidential-debate-092920.pdf

September 21-28
3133 adults
MoE: 1.9%

How likely are you to vote for each of the following candidates for president? Use a scale of 0 to 10, with 0 meaning there is no chance at all that you would vote for them and 10 means you are absolutely certain you will vote for them. For each candidate enter a number from 0 to 10. If you have already voted for president, please select a 10 for the candidate you voted for and a 0 for all others.

Mean results for each candidate:

Biden 5.04
Trump 3.82
Someone else 0.33
Jorgensen 0.28
Hawkins 0.15

Skipped 3%
Will not vote 9%
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หมูเด้ง
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2020, 09:02:36 AM »

This, of course, doesn't necessarily mean anything.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #2 on: September 29, 2020, 09:04:15 AM »

This, of course, doesn't necessarily mean anything.

I was about to say, I'm a little confused with the mixing-in of percentages -- especially since it's not a straight "for whom will you vote" poll.   
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Rand
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« Reply #3 on: September 29, 2020, 10:16:15 AM »

Once again Kanye is omitted as though he’s not a serious candidate.

Just wait until he’s inaugurated, racists.
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kireev
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« Reply #4 on: September 29, 2020, 10:17:40 AM »

Why  could not they just do a regular poll? However, looking at the favorability 50% to 38% looks about right. Biden is at +4, Trump is at -22. But it's a poll among  "the American general population (ages 18+)". So this is not even a poll among registered voters.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #5 on: September 29, 2020, 10:52:29 AM »

Once again Kanye is omitted as though he’s not a serious candidate.

Just wait until he’s inaugurated, racists.

He will have to be a write-in in some states, and unfortunately there’s evidence people routinely misspell his first name.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #6 on: September 29, 2020, 11:17:11 AM »

Once again Kanye is omitted as though he’s not a serious candidate.

Just wait until he’s inaugurated, racists.

He will have to be a write-in in some states, and unfortunately there’s evidence people routinely misspell his first name.

Even if he doesn't win the "national election" our esteemed Electoral College will see to it that he is made president after extensive deliberation on the pros and cons of each candidate.
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: September 29, 2020, 11:21:54 AM »

Once again Kanye is omitted as though he’s not a serious candidate.

Just wait until he’s inaugurated, racists.

I am not sure if you are referring to me. But, thnks
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #8 on: September 29, 2020, 11:53:54 AM »

Is 538 doing one of those debate pre- and post- favorabilities from the primary? Those were interesting.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #9 on: September 29, 2020, 11:58:48 AM »

Is 538 doing one of those debate pre- and post- favorabilities from the primary? Those were interesting.
Yes
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Arson Plus
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« Reply #10 on: September 29, 2020, 12:47:50 PM »

Once again Kanye is omitted as though he’s not a serious candidate.

Just wait until he’s inaugurated, racists.

I am not sure if you are referring to me. But, thnks
OC FOR PRESIDENT!
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #11 on: September 29, 2020, 01:38:42 PM »

Came to be critical, but then I actually read the attached file. There's LOTS of interesting stuff in there, so I recommend reading it!

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