JL Partners: Biden +10
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Author Topic: JL Partners: Biden +10  (Read 946 times)
BidenHarris2020
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« on: September 29, 2020, 07:52:50 AM »
Likely voters:

Joe Biden 51%
Donald Trump 41%
Other 2%
Not sure 7%

(5,000 sample)


Full graphs and data available at https://t.co/viBCh1MV4N
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BidenHarris2020
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« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2020, 07:53:22 AM »

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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #2 on: September 29, 2020, 08:01:52 AM »
September 14-23
4053 likely voters
MoE for full sample of 5097 respondents: 1.4%

Biden 51%
Trump 41%
Another candidate 2%
Not sure 6%

Biden's margin pre-RGB announcement is 50-41. Post-announcement, it is 53-41. Deciding to test for it was a bit morbid, but here we are.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #3 on: September 29, 2020, 08:08:34 AM »
It's a 12-point lead actually after RBG passed away.

Beautiful poll. If Biden doesn't get badly, badly, badly beaten at today's debate, I think it's over for Trump.
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BigSerg
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« Reply #4 on: September 29, 2020, 08:33:51 AM »
British Poll 🙄🙄🙄
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Holmes
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« Reply #5 on: September 29, 2020, 08:43:01 AM »

Alabama Poster 🙄🙄🙄
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OneJ
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« Reply #6 on: September 29, 2020, 11:40:03 AM »
I like this poll.
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BidenHarris2020
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« Reply #7 on: September 29, 2020, 11:54:59 PM »
Quote from: Niemeyerite on September 29, 2020, 08:08:34 AM
It's a 12-point lead actually after RBG passed away.

Beautiful poll. If Biden doesn't get badly, badly, badly beaten at today's debate, I think it's over for Trump.
Bump
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #8 on: September 29, 2020, 11:56:05 PM »
Quote from: BidenHarris2020 on September 29, 2020, 11:54:59 PM
Quote from: Niemeyerite on September 29, 2020, 08:08:34 AM
It's a 12-point lead actually after RBG passed away.

Beautiful poll. If Biden doesn't get badly, badly, badly beaten at today's debate, I think it's over for Trump.
Bump

I guess it's over for Trump...
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #9 on: September 30, 2020, 12:11:09 AM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on September 29, 2020, 11:56:05 PM
Quote from: BidenHarris2020 on September 29, 2020, 11:54:59 PM
Quote from: Niemeyerite on September 29, 2020, 08:08:34 AM
It's a 12-point lead actually after RBG passed away.

Beautiful poll. If Biden doesn't get badly, badly, badly beaten at today's debate, I think it's over for Trump.
Bump

I guess it's over for Trump...

It's been over for Trump, Trump has to crack the blue wall, the D's are just defending the blue wall that Trump took from D's with Gary Johnson votes, MI, Pa and WI. We won them back in 2018, even without Covid and they hadn't gone R since 1988
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: September 30, 2020, 02:03:38 AM »
That's a massive sample size.
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25 Abril/Aprile Sempre!
Battista Minola
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« Reply #11 on: September 30, 2020, 02:32:26 AM »

Which is a good thing, no?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: September 30, 2020, 02:43:56 AM »

Once you get like over 800 you start to lose added utility for each additional respondent. It's one of the few things remember about stats class.
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25 Abril/Aprile Sempre!
Battista Minola
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« Reply #13 on: September 30, 2020, 03:05:49 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on September 30, 2020, 02:43:56 AM

Once you get like over 800 you start to lose added utility for each additional respondent. It's one of the few things remember about stats class.

I know that. You certainly don't start to have reduced utility though.
Or better, I guess you likely have reduced economic utility, but it's another matter and well, we on this side of the thing aren't affected by it.
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