RMG Research/Just the News: Biden +8
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Author Topic: RMG Research/Just the News: Biden +8  (Read 947 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 12, 2020, 01:20:50 PM »
Oct 8-10, 1240 LV

Biden 51% (nc)
Trump 43% (nc)
Jorgensen 2% (+1)
Hawkins 1% (nc)
Other 0% (-1)
Not sure 2% (-1)

https://justthenews.com/sites/default/files/2020-10/hrct.pdf
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Rand
YaBB God
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« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2020, 01:35:17 PM »
Undecideds will break for Trump. All 2% of them. Trump will win based on that alone.
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #2 on: October 12, 2020, 01:38:21 PM »
Quote from: You Reap What You Sow on October 12, 2020, 01:35:17 PM
Undecideds will break for Trump. All 2% of them. Trump will win based on that alone.

I know you're joking but one key difference with 2016 that's barely remarked upon is that there are many fewer undecideds in polling this time around.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #3 on: October 12, 2020, 01:47:28 PM »
« Edited: October 12, 2020, 01:51:01 PM by Chocolate Thunder »
Quote from: Stranger in a strange land on October 12, 2020, 01:38:21 PM
Quote from: You Reap What You Sow on October 12, 2020, 01:35:17 PM
Undecideds will break for Trump. All 2% of them. Trump will win based on that alone.

I know you're joking but one key difference with 2016 that's barely remarked upon is that there are many fewer undecideds in polling this time around.

It will be something if Trump gets 45.8% again. Except Biden gets what he got in 2012, 51.2%.

What would 6.4 look like?
This?
https://www.270towin.com/maps/N11Ad
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #4 on: October 12, 2020, 01:52:39 PM »
The media loves to put out these generic polls but won't put out Senate polls due to the fact they lack state by state polling

Every 3/4 hrs they are putting out a natl poll except weekends😭😭😭
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: October 12, 2020, 03:14:27 PM »
For Just the News
MoE: 2.8% (listed here: https://justthenews.com/sites/default/files/2020-10/method1012.pdf )
Changes with October 1-3 poll

Strong Democratic Turnout
Biden 53% (n/c)
Trump 41% (n/c)
Jorgensen 2% (+1)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Other 0% (-1)
Not sure 2% (-1)

Strong GOP Turnout
Biden 50% (+1)
Trump 45% (n/c)
Jorgensen 2% (+1)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Other 0% (-1)
Not sure 2% (-1)
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President Johnson
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« Reply #6 on: October 12, 2020, 04:48:50 PM »
When trailing the challenger by eight points is one of your best national polls...
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