IL-Victory Research: Biden +13
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  IL-Victory Research: Biden +13
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Author Topic: IL-Victory Research: Biden +13  (Read 1998 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: September 29, 2020, 01:22:32 AM »

Sept 23-26, 1208 LV, MoE: 2.8%

Biden 53%
Trump 40%
Others 4%
Donít know/undecided 3%

Chicago: Biden 82-11 (+71)
Cook County: Biden 54-40 (+14)
Collars: Biden 51-44 (+7)
Northern: Trump 52-42 (+10)
Central: Trump 47-43 (+4)
Southern: Trump 54-33 (+21)

African-Americans: Biden 82-9 (+73)
Latinos: Biden 59-34 (+25)
Over 60: Biden 56-38 (+18)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200928_IL.pdf
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2020, 01:24:46 AM »

BIDEN IS DOOMED
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #2 on: September 29, 2020, 01:24:58 AM »

In #b4  "Biden is Collapsing in the Midwest"...

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Roll Roons
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: September 29, 2020, 01:25:59 AM »

Nice that we finally got an IL poll, but no.
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ηєω Éяσηтιєя
New Frontier
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« Reply #4 on: September 29, 2020, 01:26:30 AM »

LOL, there's no way that Biden is going to underperform Hillary.

Anyways, Safe D either way.
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jimmie
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« Reply #5 on: September 29, 2020, 01:30:32 AM »

Trump is not breaking 40% in cook county suburbs.. nor will under perform clinton in the collars. lol
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: September 29, 2020, 01:32:20 AM »

Doubtful.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #7 on: September 29, 2020, 01:32:36 AM »

Cook County numbers alone should make this Junk, even without trying to delve into the Collar Counties...

I guess maybe "Muh Chicago, Kenosha, etc BLM and Antifa "riots" are somehow causing a different effect than anywhere else in the Country (White Ethnics in Cook County & 'Burbs), sounds a bit bunk to me.... like a bad bathtub acid experience from the late '80s....

Bunk Poll = Junk Poll...  Throw it in the trash...

If anything their regional numbers in what we used to call the "War Zone" of Central Illinois because of the MFG and UAW strikes back in the Clinton dayz, looks deeply troubling for our current President...



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Bootes Void
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« Reply #8 on: September 29, 2020, 01:32:52 AM »

Joe Biden is single handedly make the Democrats more electorally competitive. It's like he is Kobe Bryant and the rest of the Democrats are like the 2006 lakers
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jimmie
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« Reply #9 on: September 29, 2020, 01:38:51 AM »

Trump wouldn't only win central illinois by a few points either. The entirely cross tabs on this poll are awful overall.

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NOVA Green
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« Reply #10 on: September 29, 2020, 01:45:30 AM »

Joe Biden is single handedly make the Democrats more electorally competitive. It's like he is Kobe Bryant and the rest of the Democrats are like the 2006 lakers

Obama can shoot better hoops than Biden any day of the week.... not that Uncle Joe hasn't played a little bit of ball with a man much younger than him, and likely held his own in a game of PIG or HORSE....

Hell Bernie Sanders played a decent ball game back in '16 and '19...




I would like to see Biden and Trump do a basketball shoot-off... throw in a bit of free-stylin' and see if Trump can show up as the Karate Kid Anime against Biden, like in one of his official campaign memes...

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iamaganster123
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« Reply #11 on: October 11, 2020, 11:18:47 PM »

Joe Biden is single handedly make the Democrats more electorally competitive. It's like he is Kobe Bryant and the rest of the Democrats are like the 2006 lakers

Obama can shoot better hoops than Biden any day of the week.... not that Uncle Joe hasn't played a little bit of ball with a man much younger than him, and likely held his own in a game of PIG or HORSE....

Hell Bernie Sanders played a decent ball game back in '16 and '19...




I would like to see Biden and Trump do a basketball shoot-off... throw in a bit of free-stylin' and see if Trump can show up as the Karate Kid Anime against Biden, like in one of his official campaign memes...


damn Bernie could shoot, I want to see how other candidates would do?
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Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #12 on: October 11, 2020, 11:22:34 PM »

Joe Biden is single handedly make the Democrats more electorally competitive. It's like he is Kobe Bryant and the rest of the Democrats are like the 2006 lakers

Obama can shoot better hoops than Biden any day of the week.... not that Uncle Joe hasn't played a little bit of ball with a man much younger than him, and likely held his own in a game of PIG or HORSE....

Hell Bernie Sanders played a decent ball game back in '16 and '19...




I would like to see Biden and Trump do a basketball shoot-off... throw in a bit of free-stylin' and see if Trump can show up as the Karate Kid Anime against Biden, like in one of his official campaign memes...
Props to Bernie for his basketball skills. I wouldn't mind trying out with him.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #13 on: October 11, 2020, 11:43:10 PM »

Lol Trump is NOT cracking 40% in Cook, let alone 20%.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #14 on: October 11, 2020, 11:46:36 PM »

Is that Cook number supposed to be "Cook minus Chicago?" Not that it helps that much, but it'd make more sense.

Anyway, nice poll of the 2004 Presidential election. Good to see IL Victory Research's time machine is functioning.
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Buzz
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« Reply #15 on: October 11, 2020, 11:59:02 PM »

Nice to see Illinois is voting in line with the nation.
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Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #16 on: October 12, 2020, 12:06:14 AM »

Donald Trump looks well positioned to win the 2000 presidential election.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #17 on: October 12, 2020, 12:33:34 AM »

Cook County outside of Chicago is still quite Democratic. Clinton carried it by 35%.
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morgieb
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« Reply #18 on: October 12, 2020, 01:30:38 AM »

Lol Trump is NOT cracking 40% in Cook, let alone 20%.
In fairness we're talking Cook County sans Chicago.

Still, if Clinton carried non-Chicago Cook by 35%.....lol.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #19 on: October 12, 2020, 05:07:04 AM »

Tribune endorsed Durbins opponent, we haven't seen a Senate poll, Durbins is likely to win by it won't be a landslide
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jimmie
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« Reply #20 on: October 12, 2020, 07:41:00 AM »

The cross tabs in this poll make zero sense and are not in line with any logic.

I have little doubt that Illinois will trend Republican relative to the nation this year. I happen to believe in math but the trend will be meaningless.
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Ljube
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« Reply #21 on: October 12, 2020, 07:42:58 AM »

If IL is really Biden +13, then Donald Trump will win the election.
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ill ind
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« Reply #22 on: October 12, 2020, 07:59:37 AM »

A poll commissioned by the Dirksen Londrigan has Biden up 13 points in Il-13.  That district went to Trump by 5 in 2016.
If Biden is indeed winning by 13 points in Il-13, he is winning the state by better than 20.
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compucomp
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« Reply #23 on: October 12, 2020, 08:02:49 AM »

If a deep blue state poll has a very large D lead, then Atlas says it means the national lead is useless because it's caused by wasted votes in deep blue states and thus Biden's in trouble. If a deep blue state poll has a smaller D lead, then Atlas says it's a bellwether and Biden's in trouble.

What IL poll result would satisfy Atlas? Any result will cause bedwetting?
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #24 on: October 12, 2020, 08:08:02 AM »

If a deep blue state poll has a very large D lead, then Atlas says it means the national lead is useless because it's caused by wasted votes in deep blue states and thus Biden's in trouble. If a deep blue state poll has a smaller D lead, then Atlas says it's a bellwether and Biden's in trouble.

What IL poll result would satisfy Atlas? Any result will cause bedwetting?

Welcome to Atlas, dear. 
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