AK-Harstad Strategic Research/Independent Alaska (I/D): Trump +1
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Author Topic: AK-Harstad Strategic Research/Independent Alaska (I/D): Trump +1  (Read 1196 times)
The Other Castro
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« on: September 28, 2020, 03:03:36 PM »
Trump - 47%
Biden - 46%

Poll of likely voters taken over Sep 20-23.

https://twitter.com/Nat_Herz/status/1310661243410104320
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Buzz
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« Reply #1 on: September 28, 2020, 03:04:16 PM »
Battleground Alaska
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หมูเด้ง
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #2 on: September 28, 2020, 03:04:38 PM »
Why are there so many polls that are obviously wrong today?
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Paul Biya isn’t going far enough
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« Reply #3 on: September 28, 2020, 03:05:15 PM »
I assume Alaska is the Utah of this election. Either that or Kansas.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #4 on: September 28, 2020, 03:06:05 PM »
Alaska polls generally overestimate democrats. that being said biden could pull a surprise if he has a ground game to get rural natives and alot of non voters to show up.

Alaska and Nevada are the two states where ground game may be more important than what the polling says
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Pericles
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« Reply #5 on: September 28, 2020, 03:07:48 PM »
Senate numbers?
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #6 on: September 28, 2020, 03:08:20 PM »

R+1
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: September 28, 2020, 03:26:31 PM »
Gross is gonna pull off the upset, Trump tax returns have something to do with his eroding polls, I will take it. Sullivan, when he blocked the Heroes act with Portman was so confident of victory, sorry Sullivan but you are going the way of Stevens and Frank Murkowski
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Pericles
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« Reply #8 on: September 28, 2020, 03:30:53 PM »

Damn it! Gross should be outrunning Biden. At least he is in most polls.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #9 on: September 28, 2020, 03:43:04 PM »
602 likely voters
MoE: 4%
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #10 on: September 28, 2020, 03:52:29 PM »
Quote from: Chocolate Thunder on September 28, 2020, 03:04:38 PM
Why are there so many polls that are obviously wrong today?

Can’t win ‘em all. Biden +2 and Biden +18 are both obviously wrong, outliers.

But this one? Well we’ve seen enough close polls in AK and the state is weird enough that it’s not totally unbelievable it’s close.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #11 on: September 28, 2020, 06:15:39 PM »
Aside from having the two largest areas of all states, what do Texas and Alaska have in common?

Oil as a source of income. 

If Alaska is this close, Trump's campaign is getting a bear hug. And I don't mean the symbolic bear of Russia. 
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JRP1994
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« Reply #12 on: September 28, 2020, 10:41:32 PM »
Mulchatna Joe!
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Crumpets
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« Reply #13 on: September 28, 2020, 10:47:14 PM »
Alaska be like:
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #14 on: September 28, 2020, 11:16:46 PM »
Hopefully this Year, Alaska will join the rest of their colleagues on the West Coast and vote DEM down the line....

Anchorage is the key here...
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