Day Before First Debate: Post Your Predictions
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Author Topic: Day Before First Debate: Post Your Predictions  (Read 3106 times)
Canis
canis
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« Reply #50 on: September 28, 2020, 08:55:37 PM »

Biden/Harris 319
Trump/Pence 219
Ten closest states
1. Florida
2. North Carolina
3. Georgia
4.  Texas
5. Ohio
6. Wisconsin
7. Arizona
8. Pennsylvania
9. Iowa
10. Michigan
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #51 on: September 28, 2020, 08:55:47 PM »


Biden/Harris: 340 EVs, 53.0%
Trump/Pence: 298 EVs, 45.6%

Others: 1.4%

Georgia would be extremely close, as is Iowa here. Trump barely gets 50% in Texas.
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Senator Sirius
Ninja0428
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« Reply #52 on: September 28, 2020, 09:08:29 PM »
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #53 on: September 28, 2020, 09:16:12 PM »


Trump wins TX by 1% or less.  OH and GA are decided by 1%.  IA is decided by an Al Gore 2000 margin.
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mileslunn
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« Reply #54 on: September 28, 2020, 10:06:54 PM »
https://www.270towin.com/maps/KQN0G
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #55 on: September 29, 2020, 12:10:47 AM »
Quote from: Horatii on September 28, 2020, 05:43:02 PM
Mine:



Trump: 269 EV, 46.5% (wins with House vote)
Biden: 269 EV, 49.8%

Funny map, ABC and NYT just came out with fresh polls showing Biden ahead by PA 9-10 pts😆😆😆😆
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🥥🌴
Lakigigar
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« Reply #56 on: September 29, 2020, 09:53:29 AM »
« Edited: September 29, 2020, 10:06:41 AM by Laki »


Ten closest states
1. Florida
2. Arizona
(NE-2)
3. Pennsylvania
4. Wisconsin
5. Nevada
(ME-2)
6. Minnesota
7. Ohio
8. Georgia
9. North Carolina
10. Michigan

FL is GA-2



gains in SC, NC, ME, CO, AZ. R gain in AL
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EastOfEden
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« Reply #57 on: September 29, 2020, 10:28:41 AM »
Realistic prediction:



Pessimistic, 2016-scarred prediction:



Optimistic, naive-person-from-August-2016 prediction:
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All Along The Watchtower
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« Reply #58 on: September 29, 2020, 01:22:15 PM »
The transition will really, really suck.
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BigVic
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« Reply #59 on: January 27, 2021, 08:58:30 AM »
Quote from: PR on September 29, 2020, 01:22:15 PM
The transition will really, really suck.

You got that prediction right
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It's Time.
Oregon Eagle Politics
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« Reply #60 on: January 27, 2021, 09:10:26 AM »
It was clear to me Trump would win FL come September.
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