PA-10 - Pennsylvania Research/House Majority PAC (D): Biden +7%
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  PA-10 - Pennsylvania Research/House Majority PAC (D): Biden +7%		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: PA-10 - Pennsylvania Research/House Majority PAC (D): Biden +7%  (Read 546 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
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« on: September 28, 2020, 12:48:29 PM »
« edited: September 28, 2020, 01:00:19 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

DePasquale is finally running even with Biden in terms of margin while still underperforming his vote share
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Trends Are Fake
Stuart98
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« Reply #1 on: September 28, 2020, 12:49:36 PM »
Title should specify that this is in PA-10.
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Darthpi - Crush the Oligarchy
darthpi
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« Reply #2 on: September 28, 2020, 01:25:00 PM »
The last time a Democrat was elected to Congress from a district that included a large portion of York County was 1964 - when it included the whole county. Adding in all of Dauphin County has obviously made it more competitive, but even still this would be an extraordinary result.
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iamaganster123
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« Reply #3 on: September 28, 2020, 01:31:49 PM »
How did this vote in 2016?
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soundchaser
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« Reply #4 on: September 28, 2020, 01:34:23 PM »

66-30 Trump, so this is a...sizable swing.
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Darthpi - Crush the Oligarchy
darthpi
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: September 28, 2020, 01:34:59 PM »

Trump won this district by almost 9%, 52.3-43.4
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Darthpi - Crush the Oligarchy
darthpi
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: September 28, 2020, 01:35:26 PM »

That's the old district, before the 2018 court-ordered redistricting.
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iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: September 28, 2020, 01:36:08 PM »
Even if you add a couple points because of dem internal, Biden is pretty solid in Pennsylvania
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soundchaser
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« Reply #8 on: September 28, 2020, 01:39:23 PM »
Quote from: darthpi on September 28, 2020, 01:35:26 PM

That's the old district, before the 2018 court-ordered redistricting.

Whoops. Forgot about the redistricting. It did seem a little hard to believe. Smiley
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #9 on: September 28, 2020, 04:16:47 PM »
A fuller release appears to include details from a previous June survey by this pollster. I've added trends based on the shift from its figures to the September ones:

https://nmcdn.io/e186d21f8c7946a19faed23c3da2f0da/7c9798eaafd54081881797bf9a163295/files/research/PA-10-poll-092520.pdf

September 22-24:
Biden 51% (+5)
Trump 44% (-2)
Other/Neither 2%
Not sure/undecided 4%
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