Monmouth: Biden +5%
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  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Monmouth: Biden +5%
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Author Topic: Monmouth: Biden +5%  (Read 1661 times)
Skye
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« Reply #25 on: September 28, 2020, 12:37:31 PM »

This is a 6 to 8 point race, if there is a poll where Biden leads by 10, you accept the one where Biden's leads by 5 as well. 

The higher quality pollsters, Emerson, Monmouth etc are showing a 4-5 point race.

LOL WHAT?!?

Emerson is no less reliable than MC but the latter is beloved here

MC is hardly a "beloved pollster" here. It's not garbage-tier but we're aware it isn't one of the bests.
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
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« Reply #26 on: September 28, 2020, 12:37:40 PM »

This is a 6 to 8 point race, if there is a poll where Biden leads by 10, you accept the one where Biden's leads by 5 as well. 

The higher quality pollsters, Emerson, Monmouth etc are showing a 4-5 point race.
Emerson is a meme pollster.

Also, you're going to completely ignore every other high-rated pollster like NYT/Siena, Fox News, ABC/WaPo, NBC/WSJ, CBS, Marist, SurveyUSA, Suffolk University, etc that show Biden leading nationally by 7-10% and doing very well in most of the key states.

You always take one lukewarm poll for Biden and freak out over it. STOP IT.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #27 on: September 28, 2020, 12:37:49 PM »

This is a 6 to 8 point race, if there is a poll where Biden leads by 10, you accept the one where Biden's leads by 5 as well. 

The higher quality pollsters, Emerson, Monmouth etc are showing a 4-5 point race.

Only if you ignore the NYT, ABC News, and Quinnipiac polls that have shown Biden +8, +10, and +10 in the past couple days.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #28 on: September 28, 2020, 12:41:22 PM »

This is a 6 to 8 point race, if there is a poll where Biden leads by 10, you accept the one where Biden's leads by 5 as well. 

The higher quality pollsters, Emerson, Monmouth etc are showing a 4-5 point race.

Hasn't there recently been a handful of high-quality polls showing a 6-10 pt. spread, though?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #29 on: September 28, 2020, 12:42:13 PM »

This is a 6 to 8 point race, if there is a poll where Biden leads by 10, you accept the one where Biden's leads by 5 as well. 

The higher quality pollsters, Emerson, Monmouth etc are showing a 4-5 point race.

LOL WHAT?!?

Emerson is no less reliable than MC but the latter is beloved here

Emerson was kicked out of the Economist average because of their highly questionable methodology.
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republican1993
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« Reply #30 on: September 28, 2020, 12:54:22 PM »

monmouth had clinton up 49-46 in the same time frame 4yrs ago
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Paul Biya isn’t going far enough
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« Reply #31 on: September 28, 2020, 01:02:56 PM »

Throw it in the average and shut up about it.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #32 on: September 28, 2020, 01:13:10 PM »

This should be pasted on the home page of this board:


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Ljube
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« Reply #33 on: September 28, 2020, 01:43:46 PM »

There is a movement toward Trump in Monmouth polls.

Quote
Biden is currently supported by 50% of registered voters and Trump by 44%. The remaining vote is scattered across third-party candidates, including Libertarian Jo Jorgensen (2%), the Green Party’s Howie Hawkins (1%), and other candidates (1%), while 2% of voters are undecided. This is smaller than the Democrat’s lead of 51% to 42% coming out of the party conventions earlier this month. Biden’s lead over the summer had ranged from 10 to 13 points. Among likely voters, Biden currently leads Trump by 5 points (50% to 45%), with 1% each for Jorgensen and Hawkins. The Democrat had a 7-point likely voter lead earlier in the month (51% to 44%).
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #34 on: September 28, 2020, 01:45:44 PM »

There is a movement toward Trump in Monmouth polls.

Quote
Biden is currently supported by 50% of registered voters and Trump by 44%. The remaining vote is scattered across third-party candidates, including Libertarian Jo Jorgensen (2%), the Green Party’s Howie Hawkins (1%), and other candidates (1%), while 2% of voters are undecided. This is smaller than the Democrat’s lead of 51% to 42% coming out of the party conventions earlier this month. Biden’s lead over the summer had ranged from 10 to 13 points. Among likely voters, Biden currently leads Trump by 5 points (50% to 45%), with 1% each for Jorgensen and Hawkins. The Democrat had a 7-point likely voter lead earlier in the month (51% to 44%).

A combined 2% is statistical noise.
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Interlocutor
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« Reply #35 on: September 28, 2020, 01:59:49 PM »

This should be pasted on the home page of this board:



This needs to be stickied in every page of every poll thread with 30+ comments
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Woody
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« Reply #36 on: September 28, 2020, 02:22:44 PM »

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Gass3268
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« Reply #37 on: September 28, 2020, 03:35:27 PM »

Interesting that this is actually an improvement for Dems in the generic ballot. Funny how that works.
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