Senatorial Candidates Tied in New Jersey; Large Undecided

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: New Jersey Senator by Strategic Vision on 2006-05-14

Summary: D: 35%, R: 35%, U: 30%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Alcon]

That's surprising.  Strategic Vision usually doesn't have many undecidedes.  I guess people are happy with neither candidate in this race.

[Keystone Phil]

I guess people are happy with neither candidate in this race.

If New Jersey can't be happy with someone like Tom Kean, Jr. then they'll never be happy.

[© tweed]

7 in 10 voters in New Jersey disapprove of Bush.  I just can't see Kean winning.  Sorry.



^^ The Machine

[jerusalemcar5]

I say voters get to the polls and say as much as a I hate the corrupt party here, a Republican Senate and the Republican party are just too evil for me.  New jersey voters are relatively sane.

[Alcon]

7 in 10 voters in New Jersey disapprove of Bush.  I just can't see Kean winning.  Sorry.

With all due respect, what do you think is a better indicator of Kean's chances: Bush's poor approval ratings or polls showing Kean leading?

[Soaring Eagle]

7 in 10 voters in New Jersey disapprove of Bush.  I just can't see Kean winning.  Sorry.



^^ The Machine

Kean isn't the one running the country into the ground. However, that will not stop him from losing.

[© tweed]

7 in 10 voters in New Jersey disapprove of Bush.  I just can't see Kean winning.  Sorry.

With all due respect, what do you think is a better indicator of Kean's chances: Bush's poor approval ratings or polls showing Kean leading?

No polls really show Kean leading.  He's been up 3-4 points but all the while under 40% and with massive undecideds.  The polls on the race itself mean little at this point with undecideds running a close third to the two candidates.

[Alcon]

7 in 10 voters in New Jersey disapprove of Bush.  I just can't see Kean winning.  Sorry.

With all due respect, what do you think is a better indicator of Kean's chances: Bush's poor approval ratings or polls showing Kean leading?

No polls really show Kean leading.  He's been up 3-4 points but all the while under 40% and with massive undecideds.  The polls on the race itself mean little at this point with undecideds running a close third to the two candidates.

That's true, although there was a Rasmussen poll where he needed just 1/3 of undecideds to win.

[Eraserhead]

If the SV poll shows them tied that means Kean is really about 7 or 8 points behind. I'm guessing he will lose by about 9 or 10 points. Around the same as Forrester.

[minionofmidas]

NJ is not like most states in the US. It's more like most countries in Europe. ... namely in that a Likely Voter poll this far out will always massively favor the Conservative. Look at the only Registered Voter poll around yet... now I don't think Menendez (or anyone) could possibly win by that much, but it gives you pause for thought doesn't it?