I really don't think Bush will win PA. In the latest elections, Democrats won Philadelphia and Pittsburgh in landslide victories (Street in the mayoral race in Philly and Onorato in the county executive race in Pittsburgh).
Bush's repeal of the steel tariffs 24 hours after he was in town for a campaign fund raiser certainly left a bad taste in a lot of people's mouths in Pittsburgh.
Onorato is more conservative then Roddy and Street could have raped a girl and still have been elected. The battleground for the state will be the suburbs. And Bush should turn up the turnout in the T.