CBS/YouGov: Perdue +5, Cunningham +10, Graham +1

[wbrocks67]

GA senate pols have been weird. Either they show Perdue up 5-7 or only like 0-2.

[wbrocks67]

I sincerely, sincerely doubt that Georgia is going to be less close than South Carolina. There is no world in which we have a Senator Harrison without a Senator Ossoff unless something odd happens in the runoff.

I think pollsters have a hard time polling places that are either rapidly or pretty briskly changing demographically. I think that's why we've seen GA and especially AZ polling pretty wonky this cycle

[H. Ross Peron]

Whenever I come to the conclusion that Tillis is in a better position than Collins, a poll like this is being released.

I mean, they're both in serious trouble.

Yeah, but Republicans will have to pull off an upset in one of ME/NC/MI to save the Senate, and right now I’m not sure which race is their best bet (I know all are difficult). I’d be more confident about MI  if the NRSC was actually serious about contesting that race (the way they’ve handled MI is inexcusable).

Michigan seems very unlikely even if GOP made a serious effort given reduced ticket splitting and it being the most likely Trump 2016 state to flip back Dem at this point.

[YE]

This poll has both Ossoff and Biden at 28% with Whites. If that comes to fruition, both are somewhat likely to end up with a plurality on election day. 

[Harvey Updyke Jr🌹]

I'm of the personal opinion that GA will split seats.  If Warnock makes it to the runoff, I think more Republicans will show up in January.

[Harvey Updyke Jr🌹]

New Poll: Georgia Senator by YouGov on 2020-09-25

Summary: D: 42%, R: 47%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details