Most likely to win: Bollier, Gross, Harrison, James
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  Most likely to win: Bollier, Gross, Harrison, James		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Who do you think is most likely to win?
#1
Barbara Bollier		  
#2
Al Gross		  
#3
Jaime Harrison		  
#4
John James		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 137

Author Topic: Most likely to win: Bollier, Gross, Harrison, James  (Read 2291 times)
VAR
VARepublican
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« on: September 26, 2020, 05:01:28 PM »
?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #1 on: September 26, 2020, 05:01:52 PM »
I'm gonna be bold and say Harrison.
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Astatine
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« Reply #2 on: September 26, 2020, 05:13:09 PM »
1. Harrison
2. Bollier, unless fresh polling proves otherwise
3. James
4. Gross
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #3 on: September 26, 2020, 05:34:23 PM »
1. James
2. Bollier

3. Harrison

4. Gross

#1 and #2 were tough. Ask me again in four weeks.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #4 on: September 26, 2020, 05:36:53 PM »
I feel like all 4 of these races are underrated flips so this is really hard.

If I had to guess I'd say

James
Bollier
Gross
And Harrison

Though all are lean R/D races and all these canidates have better chances than many may expect
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swf541
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« Reply #5 on: September 26, 2020, 05:43:06 PM »
Gross, followed by Harrison
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: September 26, 2020, 05:44:52 PM »
Bollier, it's an open seat, the last poll had her tied with Marshall
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S019
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« Reply #7 on: September 26, 2020, 05:46:00 PM »
Bollier
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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: September 26, 2020, 05:47:02 PM »
James



Bollier
Harrison
Gross
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Stuart98
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« Reply #9 on: September 26, 2020, 07:18:44 PM »
Bollier > Harrison > Gross >> James
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xavier110
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« Reply #10 on: September 26, 2020, 07:25:58 PM »
I think Bollier is most likely to win if everything goes right for her, but Harrison and James may ultimately have the closest margins (3-5 points) if Bollier collapses. LOL. Unlike with Bollier, I don't think Harrison or James really can win.

Gross isn't even in the conversation, probably loses by 10 points or more.
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Mexican Wolf
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« Reply #11 on: September 26, 2020, 07:35:41 PM »
1. Gross: Alaskans like to throw curveballs every once in a while. This is my pick for a shock upset in the Senate elections.
2. James: He's polling decently and fundraising well, and he came much closer to defeating Stabenow in 2018 than I expected him to.
3. Harrison: Harrison is also polling decently and fundraising well, but South Carolina seems like a tougher state for Democrats to break through in than Michigan is for Republicans.
4. Bollier: Her chances at winning vastly dropped after Marshall defeated Kobach in the primary, and her state has had the longest streak of electing Senators from the same party.

I'm skeptical that any of these candidates will win right now, but there's always possibilities for surprises.
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swf541
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« Reply #12 on: September 26, 2020, 08:55:10 PM »
Quote from: xavier110 on September 26, 2020, 07:25:58 PM
I think Bollier is most likely to win if everything goes right for her, but Harrison and James may ultimately have the closest margins (3-5 points) if Bollier collapses. LOL. Unlike with Bollier, I don't think Harrison or James really can win.

Gross isn't even in the conversation, probably loses by 10 points or more.

Lol this is such a poor take
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andjey
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« Reply #13 on: September 27, 2020, 01:40:01 AM »
1. Barbara Bollier
2. Jaime Harrison
3. Al Gross
4. John James
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Pericles
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« Reply #14 on: September 27, 2020, 02:04:33 AM »
Hottake, it's Gross imo. Alaska is the most winnable of the three non-Atlas red states for Dems. Gross seems to be running a very strong campaign, the polling looks good there (even though there are many undecideds) and this could easily go from a sleeper race to a high-profile competitive race in the final stretch.
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Vosem
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« Reply #15 on: September 27, 2020, 02:32:02 AM »
Unpopular opinion: I think all of these are overrated flips. Bollier, Gross, and Harrison have never led a poll against their opponents. James has only led in polls put out by bad Republican pollsters.

I will default to the lean of the state, so James, followed by Gross, followed by a huge gap, then Bollier/Harrison somewhere very unlikely. But none are very probable.
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Alcibiades
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« Reply #16 on: September 27, 2020, 02:40:54 AM »
I’m going to say Gross. Alaska is by far the most elastic and unpredictable of these states, and he seems to be doing quite well.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #17 on: September 27, 2020, 04:03:41 AM »
Bollier, due to fact there isn't any incumbent . Then Gross, then Bullock and then Harrison. As chairman of Judiciary Cmittee, that's gonna get Amy Coney Barrett thru, I wouldn't underestimate Graham

James has no chance, you see OP haven't comeback talking about how James will win, otherwise he would have. Trump has given up on MI and AZ
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #18 on: September 29, 2020, 07:45:33 PM »
1. Gross
2. Bollier
3. Harrison
4. James- Just given the environment, but his chances aren't zero
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #19 on: September 29, 2020, 07:47:29 PM »
Gross

Harrison
Bollier
James
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We Live in Black and White
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« Reply #20 on: September 29, 2020, 07:48:28 PM »
Harrison, Bollier, Gross, James. Narrow margins between all places.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #21 on: September 29, 2020, 07:51:53 PM »
Hot take: James, and it's not even close.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: September 29, 2020, 09:57:15 PM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on September 29, 2020, 07:51:53 PM
Hot take: James, and it's not even close.

R party is connected to Russia, there is no way James get minorities and females to vote for him. General Lee was a distant cousin of Lee Harvey Oswald and he had a Russian wife.

Trump tax records show business dealings with Russia and Ukraine and his wife is Ukrainian

Senator Stabenow crushed John James with females and minorities. Harrison will win
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The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
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« Reply #23 on: September 30, 2020, 01:59:25 PM »
I think all 4 have nearly identical chances, actually (something like 25%).
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ctrepublican512
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« Reply #24 on: September 30, 2020, 03:57:14 PM »
Harrison
Gross
Bollier
James
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