Models starting to converge (update 10/17) (user search)
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  Models starting to converge (update 10/17) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Models starting to converge (update 10/17)  (Read 2566 times)
The Mikado
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« on: October 04, 2020, 11:18:28 PM »

I hate to be "that guy", but for the record what did the models look like for Hillary at this time in 2016?

At this far from the election? 538 had Clinton at 77% chance to win. She'd peak at 85% chance to win about a week later before falling to ~65% and then rebounding to the 71% she ended up at on election day.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2020, 11:56:45 AM »

So how does JHK manage to consistently stay in between 538 and Economist?
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