Models starting to converge (update 10/17)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We can get an EC that isnt a typical map, we can get FL and TX and AZ voting to the left of OH, IA and NC

The way Cunningham is going he needs to drop out

[Adam Griffin]

The SWEATY FRAUDS are all converging upon Glorious G.E.M's model in order to be right - very unfair!


Also, the difference between 2016 and 2020 is that on this comparable day in 2016, Clinton lead Trump by 6 points, was well below 50% (45%, to be precise), and 16% of the country was either undecided or supposedly voting for third-parties.

It's quite a different story when you've been at or above 50% in aggregate polling for 4 months straight.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Today's values, with changes from last update - Oct. 8:

Economist: 92-8 (+1/-1)
JHK: 87.3-12.7 (+0.9/-0.9)
538: 86-14 (+1/-1)
DDHQ: 83.6-15.9 (+2.3/-2.2)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Today's values, with changes from last update (Oct. 11):

Economist: 91-9 (-1/+1)
JHK: 88.1-11.9 (+0.8/-0.
538: 87-12 (+1/-2)
DDHQ: 85.9-13.6 (+2.3/-2.3)

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Today's values, with changes from last update (Oct. 11):

Economist: 91-9 (-1/+1)
JHK: 88.1-11.9 (+0.8/-0.
538: 87-12 (+1/-2)
DDHQ: 85.9-13.6 (+2.3/-2.3)

What's the methodology behind ?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Today's values, with changes from last update (Oct. 11):

Economist: 91-9 (-1/+1)
JHK: 88.1-11.9 (+0.8/-0.
538: 87-12 (+1/-2)
DDHQ: 85.9-13.6 (+2.3/-2.3)

What's the methodology behind ?

That's the cool people vote.  Clearly Trump is losing ground with them.

[The Mikado]

So how does JHK manage to consistently stay in between 538 and Economist?

[GeorgiaModerate]

So how does JHK manage to consistently stay in between 538 and Economist?

Economist and 538 are Papa and Mama Bear, while JHK is Goldilocks (....just right.)

[ProgressiveModerate]

So how does JHK manage to consistently stay in between 538 and Economist?

Basically the same meathadology, just has an uncertainty that is right on the middle