Will the "Trump will rig it" talk decrease turnout? (user search)
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  Will the "Trump will rig it" talk decrease turnout? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Will the "Trump will rig it" talk decrease turnout?  (Read 602 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: September 26, 2020, 08:41:22 AM »

No.

If anything, Covid will depress turnout among old people - as we have seen in many European elections this year.

The assumption that this will be a historically high-turnout election is too early or incorrect, because just because a lot of people are voting early it doesn’t mean there’s generally high turnout combined with election day voters.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: September 26, 2020, 12:04:21 PM »

No.

If anything, Covid will depress turnout among old people - as we have seen in many European elections this year.

The assumption that this will be a historically high-turnout election is too early or incorrect, because just because a lot of people are voting early it doesn’t mean there’s generally high turnout combined with election day voters.

But most of the primaries this year have seen extremely high turnout even with COVID, in most cases historically high. Why think that the general election be any different?

Because primaries have very low numbers compared to a general election.

It's also about motivating Independent voters to vote.

Those are often not voting in primaries. Only partisans do.
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