MN-Suffolk/USA Today: Biden +7

[The Other Castro]

Biden - 47%
Trump - 40%
Jorgensen - 3%
West - 1%
De La Fuente - 1%
Others - 1%
Undecided - 6%

Suffolk University/USA Today poll of Minnesota likely voters: (9/20-9/24)

Edit: Was originally noted as Boston Globe, it's actually from USA Today.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/09/25/usa-today-suffolk-poll-joe-biden-leads-donald-trump-minnesota/3530898001/

[bilaps]

Yeah, never saw Trump as having any chance of winning there.

[Horus]

Good numbers for Kanye, a lot of room to grow.

[It’s so Joever]

...Biden under 50.

[neostassenite31]

In the same general range as recent polls with Biden in the 46-50% range and Trump in the 40-44% range. Not particularly good for either party when considered in relations to other Midwestern polls recently

[CellarDoor]

Good numbers for Kanye, a lot of room to grow.

lol

[psychprofessor]

Trump at 40 in the state is a red flag for neighboring states with similar demographics.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Ok, can we stop with the Minnesota polls now?

[DINGO Joe]

Good numbers for Kanye, a lot of room to grow.

Kanye peeing on his Emmy bump.

[Pollster]

Minnesota: *goes for Biden by a completely predictable and unremarkable margin*

Pundits:

[neostassenite31]

Details + breakdown:
https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/other-states/2020/9_25_2020_marginals_pdftxt.pdf?la=en&hash=EA09FFF4A22FBF2A04A6A5776C86103A990C9C6A

Technically Biden is only up 6.4 pts (46.6%-40.2%)

[Gass3268]

Why is the Boston Globe polling Minnesota?

[VAR]

Trump approval: 42/50 (-8)
Fill Ginsburg’s seat/don’t: 43/49

Favorables:
Trump 41/53 (-12)
Biden 47/42 (+5)
Pence 40/48 (-8)
Harris 45/39 (+6)
Walz 47/35 (+12)
Democratic Party 44/45 (-1)
GOP 41/47 (-6)

Sample: Clinton 44-41

[MplsDem]

Only 35% of the sample has a bachelor's degree or higher, which seems low for MN.  Still, yet another poll showing Trump having trouble getting out of the low 40s here.

[redjohn]

Only 35% of the sample has a bachelor's degree or higher, which seems low for MN.  Still, yet another poll showing Trump having trouble getting out of the low 40s here.

2016 exit polls indicate 56% of MN voters had a bachelor's degree or higher. They must be anticipating a very different electorate.

[MplsDem]

Studies done after the 2016 election with census data indicate that exit polls likely overestimated the percentage of voters with a degree.  But I have a hard time believing they missed by that much.

[kph14]

Why is the Boston Globe polling Minnesota?

Even though it turned out to be USA Today, I would applaud it. If New York Times and Washington Post do statewide polls around the country, why not the Boston Globe?

[Eraserhead]

Is West on the ballot here but not Hawkins?

[neostassenite31]

Studies done after the 2016 election with census data indicate that exit polls likely overestimated the percentage of voters with a degree.  But I have a hard time believing they missed by that much.

Pew estimated that 41% of MN voters in '16 had college degrees, the CAP (States of Change) estimated that MN had 35% of white college voters that year, while Brookings estimated the white college vote at 31%.

The point is that there is no one precise or completely accurate way to gauge what % of the electorate degree holders will make up this year. However, most previous polls in MN this year seem to use 35%-40% college-educated samples (CPS from 2018 estimates that 37% of MN residents age 25+ are whites with degrees)  

[Alben Barkley]

The Midwest is coming home, and I love it.

[The Mikado]

Is West on the ballot here but not Hawkins?

Hawkins is on the ballot in MN. He only got 2 out of the 500 respondents, so they rounded him down to 0% from 0.4%.

Same thing with Brock Pierce, who got 1 out of the 500 respondents.

Gloria La Riva and Alyson Kennedy were also asked, but had 0 respondents.

[Eraserhead]

Is West on the ballot here but not Hawkins?

Hawkins is on the ballot in MN. He only got 2 out of the 500 respondents, so they rounded him down to 0% from 0.4%.

Same thing with Brock Pierce, who got 1 out of the 500 respondents.

Gloria La Riva and Alyson Kennedy were also asked, but had 0 respondents.

Gotcha.

[Rand]

Hmm. Despite the burning and looting of Minneapolis by Antifa/BLM/shadow people under the direction of their socialist overlord Dementia Joe, Minnesotans are still willing to vote for him. Amazing.

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Minnesota President by Suffolk University on 2020-09-24

Summary: D: 47%, R: 40%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details