AZ-Data Orbital: Biden +3
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  AZ-Data Orbital: Biden +3
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Author Topic: AZ-Data Orbital: Biden +3  (Read 874 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: September 24, 2020, 10:59:23 AM »

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MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
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« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2020, 11:08:46 AM »

Was 47-45 biden in june
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2020, 11:11:15 AM »
« Edited: September 24, 2020, 11:18:07 AM by Gass3268 »

Changes from their July 1 LV poll:

Biden: 49.3 ( +3.9 )
Trump: 46.6 ( +2.8 )
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2020, 11:12:09 AM »


Interesting, seems like Biden took a big lead at the height of the July-August COVID crisis in AZ and now we are more or less back where we started.  Still think Trump needs a meaningful polling average lead to take AZ given what we know about polling in SW states.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2020, 11:21:27 AM »


Interesting, seems like Biden took a big lead at the height of the July-August COVID crisis in AZ and now we are more or less back where we started.  Still think Trump needs a meaningful polling average lead to take AZ given what we know about polling in SW states.

It really feels like there is a correlation of Biden's lead increasing whenever there is a COVID surge in a state. We might be seeing this right now in Iowa and Wisconsin.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2020, 11:27:16 AM »


Interesting, seems like Biden took a big lead at the height of the July-August COVID crisis in AZ and now we are more or less back where we started.  Still think Trump needs a meaningful polling average lead to take AZ given what we know about polling in SW states.

It really feels like there is a correlation of Biden's lead increasing whenever there is a COVID surge in a state. We might be seeing this right now in Iowa and Wisconsin.

Exception to this is GA, where we are getting a bunch of tied polls now and had some meaningful Trump leads over the summer.  Of course, Kemp's behavior during the surge stood out in a very bad way.

Also thinking Texas gets a bit better for Trump from here on out.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2020, 08:36:20 PM »

New Poll: Arizona President by Other Source on 2020-09-17

Summary: D: 49%, R: 46%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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