SurveyMonkey: Biden +9 nationally & 50 states (user search)
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  SurveyMonkey: Biden +9 nationally & 50 states (search mode)
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Author Topic: SurveyMonkey: Biden +9 nationally & 50 states  (Read 3202 times)
Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,401
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« on: September 24, 2020, 06:38:13 AM »
No to Michigan and PA (within reason, anyway), maybe for WI.  I'd be more surprised if Trump wins Wisconsin at this stage than if Biden wins it by 5+ points, though.  
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,401
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2020, 10:31:09 AM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on September 24, 2020, 10:29:41 AM
We've stooped to looking at SurveyMonkey polls?

They've got Biden tied in SC but only up by seven in RI. 

What? You have a problem with that, GM?
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,401
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2020, 11:32:36 AM »
Quote from: 7sergi9 on September 24, 2020, 11:23:03 AM
IOWA
Trump 51% (+5)
Biden 46%
.
TEXAS
Trump 50% (+3)
Biden 47%
.
NEVADA
Trump 49% (+2)
Biden 47%
.
ARIZONA
Trump 49%
Biden 49%
.
NEW MEXICO
Biden 50% (+2)
Trump 48%

Lol, Trump 350 EC

I was too busy looking at states like SC (tied), RI (Biden +7), etc. etc. to notice New Mexico.  What would the map even look like if all of these states verified as in this data-set?

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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,401
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2020, 11:36:20 AM »
Quote from: Arch on September 24, 2020, 11:33:56 AM
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on September 24, 2020, 11:32:36 AM
Quote from: 7sergi9 on September 24, 2020, 11:23:03 AM
IOWA
Trump 51% (+5)
Biden 46%
.
TEXAS
Trump 50% (+3)
Biden 47%
.
NEVADA
Trump 49% (+2)
Biden 47%
.
ARIZONA
Trump 49%
Biden 49%
.
NEW MEXICO
Biden 50% (+2)
Trump 48%

Lol, Trump 350 EC

I was too busy looking at states like SC (tied), RI (Biden +7), etc. etc. to notice New Mexico. 

What a crazy poll-set. 

Yeah, to start, SurveyMonkey doesn't have a track record that's all that great. On top of that, when you conduct dozens of polls at a time like this, you are bound to get wonky results like NM and RI, since there's less control over the quality of your data set.

You either get half-a-slice of amazing pizza or an entire pie of mediocre pizza. 
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,401
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2020, 12:07:28 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on September 24, 2020, 12:04:50 PM
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on September 24, 2020, 06:38:13 AM
No to Michigan and PA (within reason, anyway), maybe for WI.  I'd be more surprised if Trump wins Wisconsin at this stage than if Biden wins it by 5+ points, though.  

Based on what???

I said a lot of potentially dumb things, Alben.  You're going to have to be more specific. 
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