SurveyMonkey: Biden +9 nationally & 50 states (user search)
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  SurveyMonkey: Biden +9 nationally & 50 states (search mode)
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Author Topic: SurveyMonkey: Biden +9 nationally & 50 states  (Read 3190 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: September 24, 2020, 10:39:52 AM »
I’m in the process of adding all 50 state polls for September to the database.

About 20 done.

Could take a while ...

VARepublican: please change the thread title, it’s a 50 state poll.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2020, 10:58:23 AM »
Quote from: Frank on September 24, 2020, 10:43:30 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on September 24, 2020, 10:39:52 AM
I’m in the process of adding all 50 state polls for September to the database.

About 20 done.

Could take a while ...

VARepublican: please change the thread title, it’s a 50 state poll.

Maybe we could get people from the polling firms to add their results here.

If someone else wants to add them, no problem ... I stopped after IA.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2020, 12:09:16 PM »
New Poll: Kansas President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 45%, R: 54%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2020, 12:11:25 PM »
New Poll: Kentucky President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 42%, R: 55%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2020, 12:13:26 PM »
New Poll: Louisiana President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 40%, R: 58%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2020, 12:15:28 PM »
New Poll: Maine President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 59%, R: 39%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2020, 12:17:22 PM »
New Poll: Maryland President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 66%, R: 32%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2020, 12:20:38 PM »
New Poll: Massachusetts President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 65%, R: 32%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #8 on: September 24, 2020, 12:22:28 PM »
New Poll: Michigan President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 53%, R: 43%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #9 on: September 24, 2020, 12:24:37 PM »
New Poll: Minnesota President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 56%, R: 42%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #10 on: September 24, 2020, 12:26:44 PM »
New Poll: Mississippi President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 41%, R: 57%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #11 on: September 24, 2020, 12:28:54 PM »
New Poll: Missouri President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 48%, R: 48%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #12 on: September 24, 2020, 12:33:31 PM »
New Poll: Montana President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 51%, R: 47%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #13 on: September 24, 2020, 12:35:13 PM »
New Poll: Nebraska President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 37%, R: 59%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #14 on: September 24, 2020, 12:36:56 PM »
New Poll: Nevada President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 47%, R: 49%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #15 on: September 24, 2020, 12:39:38 PM »
New Poll: New Hampshire President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 54%, R: 43%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #16 on: September 24, 2020, 12:41:35 PM »
New Poll: New Jersey President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 59%, R: 36%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #17 on: September 24, 2020, 12:42:57 PM »
New Poll: New Mexico President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 50%, R: 48%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #18 on: September 24, 2020, 12:44:53 PM »
New Poll: New York President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 63%, R: 34%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #19 on: September 24, 2020, 12:46:20 PM »
New Poll: North Carolina President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 53%, R: 44%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #20 on: September 24, 2020, 12:56:02 PM »
Should be noted that their August or July polls sometimes produced completely different results in some states.

For example, IN is R+3 now - but was R+10 before.

MT is Biden+4, but was Trump+4 last month.

NC is Biden+8 now, but was Biden+1 last month.

MI Biden+10 now, was Biden+2.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #21 on: September 24, 2020, 12:58:05 PM »
Quote from: DINGO Joe on September 24, 2020, 12:55:08 PM
Tender, why are you being the idiot whose putting Survey Monkey state polls up?

Why not ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #22 on: September 25, 2020, 10:18:42 AM »
I was able to add 38/50 states, before it got deleted from 538 again for some reason.

I assume they removed it because on Axios you can only watch results for WI, MI and PA and the other states are not for the public I assume.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #23 on: September 25, 2020, 10:20:35 AM »
Quote from: Daines' Bipartisan Bills™ on September 24, 2020, 02:10:53 PM
This junk shouldn’t have been added to the database. MT is now a Tossup on the Atlas map and might even remain in that category until election day.

Dude, stop worrying.

MT and SC (which is now also a tossup) will get polled like 10 times again until the election because of their Senate races.

Besides, the SurveyMonkey results are pretty similar to other recent polls.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #24 on: September 25, 2020, 10:35:23 AM »
Quote from: Daines' Bipartisan Bills™ on September 25, 2020, 10:31:34 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on September 25, 2020, 10:20:35 AM
Quote from: Daines' Bipartisan Bills™ on September 24, 2020, 02:10:53 PM
This junk shouldn’t have been added to the database. MT is now a Tossup on the Atlas map and might even remain in that category until election day.

Dude, stop worrying.

MT and SC (which is now also a tossup) will get polled like 10 times again until the election because of their Senate races.

Besides, the SurveyMonkey results are pretty similar to other recent polls.

1. We’ll be lucky to get even three polls out of those states before the election.
2. Biden +4 in MT isn’t similar to any other MT poll, and some other results such as their IN numbers aren’t corroborated by other data either.

Quote from: Tender Branson on September 24, 2020, 12:56:02 PM
Should be noted that their August or July polls sometimes produced completely different results in some states.

For example, IN is R+3 now - but was R+10 before.

MT is Biden+4, but was Trump+4 last month.

NC is Biden+8 now, but was Biden+1 last month.

MI Biden+10 now, was Biden+2.
Logged
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