VA-CNU: Biden +5
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Author Topic: VA-CNU: Biden +5  (Read 2408 times)
VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« on: September 24, 2020, 05:18:16 AM »
Sep 9-21, 796 LV, MoE: 3.9%

Biden 48%
Trump 43%
Someone else 2%
Undecided 4%
Don’t know/refused 3%

SEN: Warner 52-39 (+13)

Northam approval: 53/41 (+12)
Trump approval: 41/56 (-15)
https://cnu.edu/wasoncenter/surveys/2020-09-24/
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2020, 05:20:00 AM »
Isn't this the pollster who usually was way TOO college educated before? So now it appears they have swung the other way lol.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2020, 05:24:54 AM »
Another candidate 2%
Undecided 7%
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2020, 05:37:49 AM »
Virginia is a toss-up. Trump campaign must pour all their remaining cash into DC and Richmond ASAP. 
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Fusternino
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« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2020, 10:28:03 AM »
I still think in a neutral political environment Virginia isn't gone for the R's because of how religious the electorate is.
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Red Wall
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« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2020, 10:28:42 AM »
We are back to 2016.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2020, 10:29:27 AM »


Yeah, sure
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ultraviolet
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« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2020, 10:32:42 AM »

More like 2008. It’s time for the GOP to go all out on this crucial swing state.
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
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« Reply #8 on: September 24, 2020, 11:08:08 AM »
They oversampled Republicans in this poll. Biden is winning VA by 10% or more.
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WD
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« Reply #9 on: September 24, 2020, 11:48:57 AM »
Sure, Trump will get 43% in VA.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #10 on: September 24, 2020, 02:34:32 PM »
NOVA backlash against Biden's #populist #kitchentableissues lol

I swear if these were released on the same day:

VA: Biden +4
ME-02: Biden +8
IA: Biden +5
PA: Biden +4
OH: Biden +3
TX: Trump +7
GA: Trump +4
NC: Biden +3
MI: Biden +11
NV: Trump +1
AZ: Trump +1

...Atlas would eat it up and entertain us with predictions of realignments in which Biden wins the white vote and the two are tied among non-white voters because that’s clearly the only possible explanation for the divergence between those state polls.
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Chips
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« Reply #11 on: September 24, 2020, 03:36:20 PM »
Biden+8 for VA is my prediction.
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Chips
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« Reply #12 on: September 24, 2020, 03:44:00 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on September 24, 2020, 05:20:00 AM
Isn't this the pollster who usually was way TOO college educated before? So now it appears they have swung the other way lol.
Yeah, In a tied popular vote Virginia probably goes blue by 2-3 points. If the Republican wins a Bush type popular vote victory (2.5%) they'll probably win VA.
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #13 on: September 24, 2020, 03:46:17 PM »
Quite an authoritarian NUT poll here! Biden will break double digits in Virginia.
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
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« Reply #14 on: September 24, 2020, 04:15:48 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on September 24, 2020, 05:20:00 AM
Isn't this the pollster who usually was way TOO college educated before? So now it appears they have swung the other way lol.

They have the same % (54) as was found in the exits in '16, likely a bit low for 2020.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #15 on: September 24, 2020, 06:06:07 PM »
Quote from: Chips on September 24, 2020, 03:44:00 PM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on September 24, 2020, 05:20:00 AM
Isn't this the pollster who usually was way TOO college educated before? So now it appears they have swung the other way lol.
Yeah, In a tied popular vote Virginia probably goes blue by 2-3 points. If the Republican wins a Bush type popular vote victory (2.5%) they'll probably win VA.

I have my doubts that VA will trend Republican relative to nation this year.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #16 on: September 24, 2020, 06:11:33 PM »

VA has joined the secular SUNBELT STACK.
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UncleSam
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« Reply #17 on: September 24, 2020, 06:50:41 PM »
VA is a democratic state now but not by that much. It was a 5 point margin in 2016 with Tim Kaine on the ballot and I don't expect Biden to overperform that margin by much this November. Probably will end up being 51-45 or something like that.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #18 on: September 24, 2020, 07:07:56 PM »
New Poll: Virginia President by Christopher Newport University on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 48%, R: 43%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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jamestroll
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« Reply #19 on: September 24, 2020, 07:24:53 PM »
Quote from: UncleSam on September 24, 2020, 06:50:41 PM
VA is a democratic state now but not by that much. It was a 5 point margin in 2016 with Tim Kaine on the ballot and I don't expect Biden to overperform that margin by much this November. Probably will end up being 51-45 or something like that.

Again, why would VA trend republican relative to the nation this year?
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #20 on: September 24, 2020, 07:37:40 PM »
Biden will win by more than this, but whatever.
If anything, this would be the absolute floor (+5).
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538Electoral
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« Reply #21 on: September 25, 2020, 03:06:56 AM »
Let's go Virginia! I believe in you!
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Badger
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« Reply #22 on: September 25, 2020, 07:52:50 AM »
Quote from: Fusternino on September 24, 2020, 10:28:03 AM
I still think in a neutral political environment Virginia isn't gone for the R's because of how religious the electorate is.

No.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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« Reply #23 on: September 29, 2020, 12:35:04 AM »
Quote from: Badger on September 25, 2020, 07:52:50 AM
Quote from: Fusternino on September 24, 2020, 10:28:03 AM
I still think in a neutral political environment Virginia isn't gone for the R's because of how religious the electorate is.

No.

Why are there so many ridiculous on virginia? lmao
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Hammy
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« Reply #24 on: September 29, 2020, 12:39:48 AM »

So you agree that Republicans are being over-counted here? Because that's what happened in Virginia in 2016.
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