MI-Baldwin Wallace: Peters +5 (user search)
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  MI-Baldwin Wallace: Peters +5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI-Baldwin Wallace: Peters +5  (Read 642 times)
Pericles
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« on: September 23, 2020, 04:46:02 PM »

Peters at 42 and 46 in the last two polls. Awful numbers for an incumbent. It seems like James is running about 1-2% ahead of  Trump in MI. This race is def tilt R at this point. Peters is a very weak incumbent. I could see a decent number of Oakland County Biden James voters.

But then Trump being at 42% in Michigan as an incumbent is awful for him? That suggests he won't come within 1-2 points in MI, so James still loses.
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Pericles
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Posts: 17,109


« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2020, 11:58:50 PM »

This is honestly making me worried, Peters looks worse off than he did to start the cycle and James is improving and we've seen several polls like this now, this is definitely a warning sign, and Peters could very underperform Biden by 5-6 points, if he doesn't start to become alarmed. I guess it was always wishful thinking to think that he would coast, anyways, moving this back to Lean D, and this might now be part of the GOP's path of least resistance to 50, with Gardner and McSally looking doomed, R's need to win two of this seat, Tillis' seat, and Collins' seat. While James seemed overrated to start the cycle, Peters seems to have become overconfident.

Lol, not happening. Maybe James outruns Trump by like 2 points, but Biden is probably going to win Michigan by more than 2 points anyway.
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