YouGov/Economist: Biden +7%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/b8ow3q7r1e/econTabReport.pdf

September 20-22
1124 likely voters
MoE not given, but 3.6% for 1282 registered voters
Changes with September 13-15 poll

Biden 49% (-2)
Trump 42% (n/c)
Other 2% (+1)
Would not vote 0% (n/c)
Not sure 6% (+1)

[Skill and Chance]

Starting to really wonder if Biden could blow this.

[CellarDoor]

Starting to really wonder if Biden could blow this.

Because polls move within the margin of error?  Please. 

[VAR]

GCB: D 47-43 (+4, was D 48-41)
Trump approval: 45/53 (-8, was 45/54)

Favorabilities:
Trump 44/56 (-12, was 45/55)
Biden 50/48 (+2, no change)
Pence 42/51 (-9, was 43/50)
Harris 45/49 (-4, was 48/47)
Pelosi 38/57 (-19, was 40/54)
McConnell 31/55 (-24, was 27/58)
Democratic Party 45/53 (-8, was 49/48)
GOP 40/57 (-17, was 42/55)

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Starting to really wonder if Biden could blow this.

Starting to really wonder if you understand how polls work?

[Beet]

Starting to really wonder if Biden could blow this.

I don't expect Biden to win at all. But the better he does, the less badly downballot Dems will lose and there will be more of a check on Trump during his second term. So I suppose I'm still hoping for Biden to do well.

[Gass3268]

Starting to really wonder if Biden could blow this.

Biden's lead back over 7% on 538, even with this poll included. About a half point bump since last week.

[Horus]

Trump at 42% isn't good for him but Biden should be consolidating at this point, not losing ground. This really isn't a great poll for either of them.

[CellarDoor]

Trump at 42% isn't good for him but Biden should be consolidating at this point, not losing ground. This really isn't a great poll for either of them.

He's not losing ground.  It's a MOE movement.

[Skill and Chance]

Starting to really wonder if Biden could blow this.

Starting to really wonder if you understand how polls work?

Looks quite close in the EC now.  Let's wait for Monmouth in Georgia.  If Biden is up a few there, the recent Trump-leaning state polls may just be random variation.

[wbrocks67]

Starting to really wonder if Biden could blow this.

Trump is literally barely above 40%.

[wbrocks67]

This is certainly a wonky sample... they have the RV at Biden 44-38... their RV samples are never that low (only 82% decided between the two?)

Also this poll has Trump at 2% with black voters, which has been a trend recently of his #s sinking even further with them.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

This is certainly a wonky sample... they have the RV at Biden 44-38... their RV samples are never that low (only 82% decided between the two?)

Also this poll has Trump at 2% with black voters, which has been a trend recently of his #s sinking even further with them.

This can't be true. Trump is winning 13-16% of the Black vote. #Blexit #WalkAway

[Mr.Phips]

Starting to really wonder if Biden could blow this.

Haha.  No.

[republican1993]

this poll is margin of error at the moment.. if trump creeps up to 45% than i would get nervous.