MI-MRG: Biden +5
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  MI-MRG: Biden +5
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Author Topic: MI-MRG: Biden +5  (Read 1054 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: September 22, 2020, 08:03:22 AM »
« edited: September 22, 2020, 08:22:49 AM by VARepublican »

Sep 14-19, 600 LV, MoE: 4%

Biden 46%
Trump 41%

Senate race: Peters 42-40

Favorables:
Trump 40/53 (-10, was 41/48)
Biden 45/42 (+3, was 36/41)
Peters 34/26 (+8, was 22/17)
James 32/30 (+2, was 19/19)

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/MRG_Michigan_September_2020.pdf
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Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2020, 08:07:45 AM »

Why is Peters still so unknown?


If you're Peters campaign manager, what do you do to increase his name recognition?
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #2 on: September 22, 2020, 08:10:01 AM »

Why is Peters still so unknown?


If you're Peters campaign manager, what do you do to increase his name recognition?

He needs some ads where he's on his motorcycle, that should help.
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bilaps
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« Reply #3 on: September 22, 2020, 08:11:08 AM »

Best poll for Trump in days
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #4 on: September 22, 2020, 08:17:12 AM »

And he’s at 41%. Pretty telling
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: September 22, 2020, 08:18:39 AM »

Changes with March 16-20 poll

With leaners:

Biden 46% (+2)
Trump 41% (n/c)
Someone else 7% (+1)
Refused 1% (n/c)
Won't vote 0% (but some voters) (-1)
Undecided/don't know 5% (-1)
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6 on: September 22, 2020, 08:44:03 AM »

7% "vote someone else" is really junky, but the bottom line here is that Trump is still mired in the low 40s with a -13 favorable rating compared to Biden's +3
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #7 on: September 22, 2020, 08:51:34 AM »

Trump isn't winning a state with horrendous approvals while his opponent is actually in positive territory.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #8 on: September 22, 2020, 10:09:29 AM »

This poll had Hillary +5/+8 in mid-October 2016.
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Woody
SirWoodbury
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« Reply #9 on: September 22, 2020, 10:11:20 AM »

And Biden is under 50%. Undecided Midwestern-Whites went heavily for Trump last time around.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: September 22, 2020, 10:13:12 AM »

Biden surging.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
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« Reply #11 on: September 22, 2020, 11:42:58 AM »

This poll had Hillary +5/+8 in mid-October 2016.

Polls have changed as a result of 2016. If anything they may be too favorable to Trump now. And still, he is underperforming himself from 2016 in COUNTLESS more places/polls than Biden is Hillary. Both compared to the actual results and to polls taken before the election. Cherrypicking one poll like this, where Trump is stuck at 41% and much less favorable than his opponent (Hillary never had that advantage), is meaningless.
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