VT - Braun Research: Biden +23%

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This would be kind of an improvement for Trump compared to 2016, when it was H+26.

Wouldn't be super surprising to see Vermont slowly drift right since it's anomalous compared to most other rural areas of the country. Will be a few more cycles before this makes it competitive though.

That's assuming this isn't just noise.

Vermont is anomalous for a reason. It might trend R but not to the point of becoming a swing state.