18-30 Year Olds (Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics): Biden +33
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  18-30 Year Olds (Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics): Biden +33
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Author Topic: 18-30 Year Olds (Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics): Biden +33  (Read 956 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: September 21, 2020, 01:10:34 PM »

National, 18-30 year olds

Biden 60%
Trump 27%

63% of respondents said they will "definitely" be voting in November's election. At the same time four years ago, slightly less than half (47%) of young Americans polled said they would definitely vote.

https://www.npr.org/2020/09/21/914989655/poll-most-young-americans-prefer-biden-but-trump-backers-are-more-enthusiastic

Clinton only won 18-29 year olds by 19% in 2016.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: September 21, 2020, 01:26:23 PM »

In before obligatory "But I was told Zoomers were gonna be much more conservative" comment
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indietraveler
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« Reply #2 on: September 21, 2020, 01:35:39 PM »

No surprise. Though I never would have thought it would be the tide pod generation saving our democracy. That's a significant increase in voters.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: September 21, 2020, 01:41:11 PM »

No surprise. Though I never would have thought it would be the tide pod generation saving our democracy. That's a significant increase in voters.

Roll Eyes
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: September 21, 2020, 01:45:01 PM »

If this turns out to be accurate, polls are gonna be really off.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #5 on: September 21, 2020, 01:49:12 PM »

If this turns out to be accurate, polls are gonna be really off.

Meaning it helps Biden?
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ηєω яσηтιєя
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« Reply #6 on: September 21, 2020, 01:52:07 PM »

If this turns out to be accurate, polls are gonna be really off.

Meaning it helps Biden?
Um, yeah.
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iamaganster123
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« Reply #7 on: September 21, 2020, 03:12:37 PM »

I think Biden may overperform his polling number if this is true but I dont want to jinx. the amount enthusiasm among 18 to 29 years olds in this poll is equivalent to 2008
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redjohn
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« Reply #8 on: September 21, 2020, 03:30:30 PM »

Yeah, this seems right (if not underestimating support for Biden). Biden is going to nearly double HRC's margin among these voters; Trump's responses to COVID and the BLM protests are going to be big factors in the swing.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #9 on: September 21, 2020, 04:43:42 PM »

Trump really has done a number on his party's future. Demographic time bomb.
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WD
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« Reply #10 on: September 21, 2020, 05:42:33 PM »

In before obligatory "But I was told Zoomers were gonna be much more conservative" comment

But I was told Generation Z would the most conservative Generation since WW2
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #11 on: September 21, 2020, 07:10:45 PM »

Yeah, this seems right (if not underestimating support for Biden). Biden is going to nearly double HRC's margin among these voters; Trump's responses to COVID and the BLM protests are going to be big factors in the swing.

And the SCOTUS effect?
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #12 on: September 21, 2020, 07:59:40 PM »

I think the TikTok almost being banned by Trump helped give Biden more younger voters.
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iamaganster123
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« Reply #13 on: September 21, 2020, 09:30:10 PM »

I think the TikTok almost being banned by Trump helped give Biden more younger voters.

I would say no but I guess banning tiktok is a necessary evil
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #14 on: September 22, 2020, 12:05:26 AM »
« Edited: September 22, 2020, 03:54:21 PM by Monstro »

This thread is a good example in how ignorant Atlas is with young people & what drives them politically.

This, TikTok being the issue that drives Under 30 voters over the edge (As opposed to literally anything else Trump's done until last month) & the hilarious paranoia around Kanye West overwhelmingly winning the Under 30 vote
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #15 on: September 22, 2020, 03:14:04 PM »

Yeah, this seems right (if not underestimating support for Biden). Biden is going to nearly double HRC's margin among these voters; Trump's responses to COVID and the BLM protests are going to be big factors in the swing.

And the SCOTUS effect?

Might help too if young people think about the fact that will affect them for probably the rest of their lives.

Anyway, Biden doing 14 points better than Hillary AND way more young people saying they will vote are both very, very good things.
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iamaganster123
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« Reply #16 on: September 22, 2020, 03:52:33 PM »

This thread is a good example in how ignorant Atlas is with young people & what drives them politically.

This, the TikTok ban & the hilarious paranoia around Kanye West overwhelmingly winning the Under 30 vote

well Kanye west resonates more with  older millenial/ gen x , not zoomers. I havent thought of Kanye since 2015 or so
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #17 on: September 22, 2020, 03:58:14 PM »
« Edited: September 22, 2020, 07:31:10 PM by Monstro »

This thread is a good example in how ignorant Atlas is with young people & what drives them politically.

This, the TikTok ban & the hilarious paranoia around Kanye West overwhelmingly winning the Under 30 vote

well Kanye west resonates more with  older millenial/ gen x , not zoomers. I havent thought of Kanye since 2015 or so

That's great that you know.

I'll always remember the weekend-long paranoia here after Kanye "announced" that he was gonna crush it among Zoomers/Millennials & young Black voters.

That's when I know I couldn't take this forums "analysis" of young voters seriously. Doubly funnier when you realize a significant chunk of active posters are in their 20s
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