Hornet-Biden +6 among gay men in the US
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  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Hornet-Biden +6 among gay men in the US
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Author Topic: Hornet-Biden +6 among gay men in the US  (Read 3427 times)
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #75 on: September 21, 2020, 01:46:39 AM »

Gay men are less important than WY is as a state for the election ...

Gay men are 5% of the Democratic coalition and - unlike almost every other minority group - are geographically one of the most optimally-distributed voting blocs in the country. We also enjoy a guaranteed existence: unlike everybody else, if you kill us all off, we'll just be back next generation!

If you take the exit poll figures at face value (which I do think overestimate D support, but alas) and adjust gay male support to 50/50, Clinton would have lost Minnesota, New Hampshire, Nevada and Maine.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #76 on: September 21, 2020, 06:00:08 AM »

Gay men are less important than WY is as a state for the election ...

If Georgia and Texas barely go D, the huge gay communities in their largest cities will be a reason why.
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #77 on: September 21, 2020, 05:51:27 PM »

I don’t doubt that gay men are the least liberal part of the LGBT community or that they could be closer to 50/50 in the future, but given the demographics of out gay men in this country, this pool seems way off to me.

This to me shows how hard it is to poll just one demographic. Polling firms have tried this with Latino voters for years and still don’t do very well at it.
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #78 on: September 21, 2020, 08:07:48 PM »

Gay men are less important than WY is as a state for the election ...

If Georgia and Texas barely go D, the huge gay communities in their largest cities will be a reason why.

To think the LGBT community in Atlanta and Houston will be the factor, that's unlikely.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #79 on: September 21, 2020, 08:36:29 PM »

Gay men are less important than WY is as a state for the election ...

If Georgia and Texas barely go D, the huge gay communities in their largest cities will be a reason why.

To think the LGBT community in Atlanta and Houston will be the factor, that's unlikely.

Not on their own, but in a close election, they would be one of many marginal contributors. It matters that those states have tier 1 metro areas with large gay populations as well as diverse and well-educated suburbs.
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