ME-Suffolk: Gideon +5/+7 (user search)
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  ME-Suffolk: Gideon +5/+7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: ME-Suffolk: Gideon +5/+7  (Read 1407 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,771


« on: September 21, 2020, 10:18:23 AM »

For the Boston Globe: https://www.bostonglobe.com/2020/09/21/metro/collins-trails-gideon-maine-senate-race-according-new-suffolkglobe-poll/

500 likely voters
MoE: 4.4%

First ballot:
Other 1%
Refused 1%
Undecided 5%

With second choices for non-Collins/Gideon supporters (but not for people who selected 'undecided' or 'refused'):

Gideon 49%
Collins 42%
Savage 1%
Linn 1%
Refused 1% (not including "refused [to transfer]" - keep these voters with Savage and assume they leave the rest of the ballot blank)
Other 0% (but some voters)
Undecided 6%

The question only asked for second preferences, not third, fourth, etc. It led to a scenario where Linn/Savage backers picked other minor candidates and we never discerned their Collins/Gideon preferences despite them being able to rank more choices.
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