NJ-02- House Majority PAC/PPP (D) - Biden+4
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  NJ-02- House Majority PAC/PPP (D) - Biden+4
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Author Topic: NJ-02- House Majority PAC/PPP (D) - Biden+4  (Read 680 times)
n1240
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« on: September 22, 2020, 02:05:27 PM »

https://38golu1f1ik01c9tej2um08s-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/House-Majority-PAC-NJ2Results-092120.pdf

Biden 50
Trump 46

9/14-15, 550 V

Was Trump+4 in 2016
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2020, 02:12:44 PM »

This prob is v bad news for Van Drew. If Biden carries this district then Kennedy will win.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2 on: September 22, 2020, 02:13:01 PM »

And Kennedy leading Van Drew 48-43.
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It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
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« Reply #3 on: September 22, 2020, 02:13:51 PM »

It’s a Dem internal...
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kph14
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« Reply #4 on: September 22, 2020, 03:06:54 PM »

Democratic internals were (mostly) very accurate in 2018. Republican internals on the other hand...
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5 on: September 22, 2020, 03:08:20 PM »


Like someone else said, this isn't really a big ding on it - Dem internals were way more reliable than R internals in 2018 (and also way more widespread like this year).

Also, the numbers aren't unreasonable given the district voted for Obama by 8 and many of these type of districts are snapping back to Ds
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #6 on: September 22, 2020, 03:26:26 PM »

Not sure 4%
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Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
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« Reply #7 on: September 22, 2020, 03:27:54 PM »

I would almost like for Van Drew to lose as I would like for Biden to win.
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Pollster
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« Reply #8 on: September 22, 2020, 03:52:00 PM »

Notably, this district is demographically, culturally, geographically, and politically extremely similar to NY-11.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #9 on: September 22, 2020, 06:21:02 PM »

Notably, this district is demographically, culturally, geographically, and politically extremely similar to NY-11.

This is way overstating it. This is a different metro area and includes a bunch of rural areas and small resort towns. NY-11 is entirely urban and suburban.

Although I'm not sure why it matters much anyway?
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