FL-18 - St. Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics: TIE

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/368449-heres-brunch-a-pop-up-weekend-email-about-final-weeks-of-the-2020-campaign-9-20-20

September 18
1149 likely voters
MoE: 2.9%

<0.5% between the candidates pre-rounding, hence the discrepancy between the margin int the title and the topline here.

Biden 49%
Trump 48%

Trump won 53%-44% in 2016.

[wbrocks67]

Yeah, these congressional polls are all pointing to like 3-ish Biden lead statewide.

[Skill and Chance]

#RetireesforBiden

[Pericles]

Is Mast safe even if Trump loses this district?

[Roll Roons]

Is Mast safe even if Trump loses this district?

Most likely, though I guess he could lose in a really massive wave. His Dem opponent is kind of crazy, and the same poll shows him running far ahead of Trump.

[DaleCooper]

If these district polls are even close to accurate then Biden should be getting 50% statewide on Election Day.

[Skill and Chance]

If these district polls are even close to accurate then Biden should be getting 50% statewide on Election Day.

Yeah, but we still haven't seen FL-25/26/27 where he could be running 10% behind Clinton.

[wbrocks67]

If these district polls are even close to accurate then Biden should be getting 50% statewide on Election Day.

Yeah, but we still haven't seen FL-25/26/27 where he could be running 10% behind Clinton.

That doesnt seem likely and isn't really supported by any concrete evidence

[Tekken_Guy]

If these district polls are even close to accurate then Biden should be getting 50% statewide on Election Day.

Yeah, but we still haven't seen FL-25/26/27 where he could be running 10% behind Clinton.

Gillum and Nelson failed to carry FL-18 in the election. If the polls are accurate, Biden will have to do worse than 2018 in the Cuban districts to blow it.

[Devils30]

Not a good sign for Trump if he can only manage a tie there. Places like Jupiter absolutely love him (supposedly) and he is probably down 5-6 in St. Lucie if you believe this poll.