IA-DMR: Dems lead in CD 1,2,3, down in CD 4

[Terry the Fat Shark]

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/09/20/iowa-poll-all-four-iowas-congressional-races-up-grabs/5829937002/

CD 1:
Democrats 47%
Republicans 41%

CD 2:
Democrats 50%
Republicans 46%

CD 3:
Democrats 48%
Republicans 42%

CD 4:
Republicans 49%
Democrats 44%

[Lief 🗽]

No way is IA-04 anywhere near that close.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

No way is IA-04 anywhere near that close.

well it is a margin of error of 7% or something like that

[indietraveler]

the large MoE here and for whatever reason, lack of naming candidates, makes this poll hard to believe.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

September 14-17
Changes with June 7-10 poll

N.B. these figures are generic D vs generic R

Statewide
658 likely voters
MoE: 3.8

D 47% (n/c)
R 45% (+3)

IA01
MoE: 7.8

D 47% (-1)
R 41% (-1)

IA02
MoE: 8.7

D 50% (-3)
R 46% (+11)

IA03
MoE: 7.7

D 48% (-4)
R 42% (+6)

IA04
MoE: 7.5

R 49% (-8)
D 44% (+9)

[indietraveler]

Though I do think all CDs here stay the same in the end.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Feenstra is up at least 15 points in Iowa 4th..

[Landslide Lyndon]

September 14-17
Changes with June 7-10 poll

N.B. these figures are generic D vs generic R

Statewide
658 likely voters
MoE: 3.8

D 47% (n/c)
R 45% (+3)

IA01
MoE: 7.8

D 47% (-1)
R 41% (-1)

IA02
MoE: 8.7

D 50% (-3)
R 46% (+11)

IA03
MoE: 7.7

D 48% (-4)
R 42% (+6)

IA04
MoE: 7.5

R 49% (-8)
D 44% (+9)

Ok, these swings are ridiculous. If I were Selzer I would never release these shoddy polls.

[lfromnj]

Again people, Although Selzers standard has dropped in general for Iowa they aren't awful for the statewide races. But their congressional districts are garbage lol due to the fact they just split it down which results in a super small sample size.

[wbrocks67]

Yeah, we're talking like 150 people here for each sample. Not even worth doing anything with

[OSR stands with Israel]

No way is IA-04 anywhere near that close.

Many probably in that district may still think Steve king is the nominee which is why these party polls are worthless