2020 Trend Map

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2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)

2020 Trend Map

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Topic: 2020 Trend Map (Read 563 times)

Devils30
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2020 Trend Map

« on: September 20, 2020, 10:39:23 AM »

Does anyone else think we have something along these lines? The southeast could swing D, Biden could even win NC, GA, FL by 0-2% but win by like 9% nationally which would make those states trend R compared to 2016. Meanwhile, Biden's gains in polls in WI, MN, ME, MT suggest he is making up plenty of ground relative to 2016 with northern white working class voters.

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AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp

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Re: 2020 Trend Map

« Reply #1 on: September 20, 2020, 02:13:13 PM »

WV and KY are not trending D. GA is not trending R.

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Devils30
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Posts: 4,990

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Re: 2020 Trend Map

« Reply #2 on: September 20, 2020, 02:24:59 PM »

If Biden loses WV by 34 instead of 41 it probably trends D. If he wins by 8 nationally and GA by less than 1, it trends R. GA will trend D potentially if its a disappointing popular vote for Biden at like +5 or less but its so inelastic.

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