FL, TX - YouGov/CBS: Biden +2%, Trump +2% (user search)
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  FL, TX - YouGov/CBS: Biden +2%, Trump +2% (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL, TX - YouGov/CBS: Biden +2%, Trump +2%  (Read 3028 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: September 20, 2020, 12:43:02 PM »

Further confirmation of Trump is surging in Florida while Biden holds steady everywhere else.  This basically has to be explained by something specific to Florida now.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: September 20, 2020, 01:20:59 PM »

Further confirmation of Trump is surging in Florida while Biden holds steady everywhere else.  This basically has to be explained by something specific to Florida now.

He's only surging if you believed Biden was up 6-7% in Florida at some point. Which he wasn't.

OK, sure, that's possible, but then why were the summer polls wrong in Florida and solid everywhere else?
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #2 on: September 20, 2020, 01:34:12 PM »

I expect a heartbreakingly thin loss in Florida for Biden, and a slightly larger one in Texas.

If the 2016/18 polling errors continue, Trump could legit do better in Florida than Texas.
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