FL, TX - YouGov/CBS: Biden +2%, Trump +2%

[Tender Branson]

TX should indeed be really tight, maybe on a level with FL.

Trump could have good chances in FL, especially if he unveils the FL Cuban woman as his SC pick.

[ajc0918]

Biden's improvement with seniors and white voters far outweighs his losses (if they exist) with hispanic voters. People keep saying it but it needs to be repeated: Biden is not HRC.

He isn't as polarizing and no amount of mailers from the Trump campaign placing Biden next to AOC / Omar will make people forget the eight years that Biden spent at Vice President.

[Catalyst138]

I think both states will be very close. But Biden doesn’t HAVE to win either state to win the election, whereas Trump absolutely needs both.

[slothdem]

Biden's chances of winning Texas are much better than Trump's are at winning Minnesota, but you won't hear the media talking about that. They want their horserace narrative to remain intact.

Forget Minnesota. There is a better chance that Biden wins Texas than Trump wins Wisconsin. I didn't think we'd get here, but are are. The same may well be true for Pennsylvania.

[wbrocks67]

I truly love the takes that people think Biden is still going to lose FL despite him leading in just about 98% of the polls taken there this entire cycle.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

FL isnt the tipping pt, AZ is, Trump is gonna win FL. But with Kelly, he can be seated Nov 30th in time for the voting on Amy Barrett, making Collins, Kelly, Romney and Murkowski the swing vote

Pollsters always over sample Latinos in TX and FL and they go R

[Roll Roons]

I truly love the takes that people think Biden is still going to lose FL despite him leading in just about 98% of the polls taken there this entire cycle.

So did Gillum. Biden is a much better candidate, but you can never be too sure when it comes to this state.

[Gass3268]

The Texas poll is a bit too white compared to past exit polls. Texas is gonna be super close.

[OSR stands with Israel]

They sampled more democrats than republicans in Texas lol ,

So really the lead should be +4

[wbrocks67]

They sampled more democrats than republicans in Texas lol ,

So really the lead should be +4

They also have a sample where Trump wins Indies by 14% which isn't happening either

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

I'd join the calvary, but what more is there to say about Texas with 6 weeks to go?

If you don't think it's a tossup or that Biden could flip it, then I ain't gonna waste my time

[Indy Texas]

I'd join the calvary, but what more is there to say about Texas with 6 weeks to go?

If you don't think it's a tossup or that Biden could flip it, then I ain't gonna waste my time

I don't think Biden will win Texas. My main motivation is that if he loses it by less than 3 points or so, the Democrats can win a majority in the State House due to how the GOP gerrymander is starting to backfire on them.