FL-SD39 (The Tyson Group): Trump +6
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  FL-SD39 (The Tyson Group): Trump +6
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Author Topic: FL-SD39 (The Tyson Group): Trump +6  (Read 705 times)
VAR
VARepublican
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« on: September 21, 2020, 08:43:38 AM »
« edited: September 21, 2020, 10:36:40 AM by VARepublican »

Sep 8-11

Trump 48% (+4)
Biden 42% (-2)

Trump approval: 50/45 (+5)
DeSantis approval: 51/36 (+15)

“South Miami-Dade and all of Monroe County”, located in FL-26, Hillary Clinton won this district by 10 points.

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/368525-outside-poll-finds-donald-trump-ana-maria-rodriguez-with-comfy-leads-in-sd-39
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Woody
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« Reply #1 on: September 21, 2020, 08:47:18 AM »

Cuban bump for Trump.
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Devils30
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« Reply #2 on: September 21, 2020, 08:50:15 AM »

if true it might push Florida to the right of even North Carolina in the tipping point. Pretty clear by now FL won't be the deciding state...unless this poll is total bs which it likely is.

This district is 10% to the right of Texas???
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #3 on: September 21, 2020, 08:52:18 AM »


Biden is leading in FL by the same pollster  Tyson Group
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #4 on: September 21, 2020, 09:19:58 AM »

16% swing from 2016? Sure jan
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #5 on: September 21, 2020, 09:22:15 AM »

This is the same pollster that just reported Trump+4 in Alabama. So probably not worth taking seriously. I am amused by the idea that southern Dade County and the Florida Keys might be more Republican than the state of Alabama, though.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #6 on: September 21, 2020, 09:25:05 AM »

Biden has taken a hit from Despacito-gate
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ultraviolet
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« Reply #7 on: September 21, 2020, 09:29:16 AM »

Blue avatars: if you want to believe this poll, you’ll also have to believe their poll showing Trump up 4 in AL and down 4 in TX.
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #8 on: September 21, 2020, 10:01:22 AM »

Well, at least we now know that this pollster isn't fake. Nobody in their right mind would fake numbers like these combined with the state polls they just published.

More likely, they are just really crap at polling.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #9 on: September 21, 2020, 10:23:17 AM »


It doesn't matter. This same company is showing Biden ahead by 2% in FL. So White bump for Biden cancels Cuban bump for Trump. And guess what? There are way more whites than Cubans in the rest of the swing states! 😊
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #10 on: September 21, 2020, 10:35:53 AM »

Poll sponsored by Let's Preserve the American Dream PAC
Conducted September 8-11, not 9-11

Clinton won 53%-43% in 2016 here.

Trendlines applied from tied poll in July.

In the state Senate race:

Rodriguez (R) 37% (+6)
Hernandez (D) 31% (+3)

The Republican incumbent here, Flores, won 54.2%-45.8% in 2016.
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krb08
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« Reply #11 on: September 21, 2020, 11:36:03 AM »

This poll would be a lot more concerning to me if this same pollster didn't also show Trump only up 4 in Alabama today.
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soundchaser
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« Reply #12 on: September 21, 2020, 11:36:38 AM »

I did like their chicken nuggets as a kid, though.
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Senator-elect Spark
Spark498
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« Reply #13 on: September 21, 2020, 03:39:15 PM »

Sep 8-11

Trump 48% (+4)
Biden 42% (-2)

Trump approval: 50/45 (+5)
DeSantis approval: 51/36 (+15)

“South Miami-Dade and all of Monroe County”, located in FL-26, Hillary Clinton won this district by 10 points.

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/368525-outside-poll-finds-donald-trump-ana-maria-rodriguez-with-comfy-leads-in-sd-39

Nice! Trump will cut the margins down in Miami-Dade.
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