MO-Remington: Trump +8 (user search)
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  MO-Remington: Trump +8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MO-Remington: Trump +8  (Read 1494 times)
DaleCooper
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« on: September 19, 2020, 09:13:27 AM »

If Missouri does end up being this close then are WI, MI, or PA even competitive? For Biden to reach 45% (or within the margin of error) in this state, then he'd have to be eating into Trump's margin with white voters by well over 10%.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #1 on: September 19, 2020, 09:19:00 AM »

Yikes. R pollster and Trump only up 8 in *Missouri*

This R pollster has a D+1.2 bias according to 538. Still, this is an extremely poor showing for Trump, as candidates rarely underperform their % in polls and Biden’s at 45% already. I expect Trump to win this state by 9-10% in the end.

I went back and checked the 2016 Missouri averages and Clinton consistently polled in the mid-to-high 30s, and Remington's poll right before the election was Trump +12 with Clinton at 39.
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