House Triage Watch

[Gracile]

The NRCC is canceling a $2 million ad buy in the Houston market where they were attempting to unseat Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (D-TX-07)-

https://www.texastribune.org/2020/09/18/NRCC-Houston-ads/

The buy was intended for the last two weeks of the election cycle.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Darn it! They finally saw the wiring on the wall. Too bad, I was hoping they would continue to light money on fire here.

[lfromnj]

But this is just showing how broke they are probably lol, I mean if TX07 isn't there they still have to spend on TX22 and 10/2

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

lizzie fletcher should be just fine

[Horus]

If the GOP were still the party of Romney/Ryan, Wesley Hunt would have a very bright future

[We Live in Black and White]

If the GOP were still the party of Romney/Ryan, Wesley Hunt would have a very bright future

Sucks for him that it's now the party of Duncan Lemp and Kyle Rittenhouse, huh?

[Indy Texas]

Great, now I don't have to see the blatantly dishonest ads from Wesley Hunt about how he supposedly cares about protecting pre-existing conditions.

Maybe in 2022, Kathaleen Wall can move to TX-07 and run a completely wacky, self-funded sacrificial lamb campaign. At least that would be entertaining.

[Storr]

I'm not sure why they were even spending for TX-07. It's probably a VA-10/Comstock situation where big donors who live in the district wanted the NRCC to continue spending there, since like VA-10, TX-07 is a wealthy suburban district ($73,130 median income, which is much less than VA-10 [$122K] but remember cost of living is much less in Texas.)

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

I'm not sure why they were even spending for TX-07. It's probably a VA-10/Comstock situation where big donors who live in the district wanted the NRCC to continue spending there, since like VA-10, TX-07 is wealthy suburban district ($73,130 median income, which is much less than VA-10 [$122K] but remember cost of living is much less in Texas.)

Because their donors are butthurt about the changing coalitions. They don't want their party to be full of "white working class" plebs!

[Gracile]

The DCCC is canceling ad spending in ME-02:

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1308092060751331329

[wbrocks67]

The DCCC is canceling ad spending in ME-02:

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1308092060751331329

No surprise here, Golden is well funded and clearly in a great position

[Gracile]

It looks like the DCCC is canceling ad spending in PA-08 as well:

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1308113155260899328

[KaiserDave]

Titanium D House

[wbrocks67]

It looks like the DCCC is canceling ad spending in PA-08 as well:

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1308113155260899328

Expected as well. Cartwright is a strong incumbent, Biden will likely run strong in his district (compared to HRC) and his competitor was a total flop

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1308121505927233536?s=20

[Gracile]

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1308121505927233536?s=20

Canceling MI-11, but keeping MI-08 perhaps?

[Splash]

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1308121505927233536?s=20

Canceling MI-11, but keeping MI-08 perhaps?

Yeah, most likely. Stevens is pretty secure. Slotkin should be too but I am a bit worried about depressed turnout in East Lansing since many students aren't on campus this fall.

[Indy Texas]

It looks like the DCCC is canceling ad spending in PA-08 as well:

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1308113155260899328

Who needs it when JOE BIDEN OF SCRANTON, PENNSYLVANIA is at the top of the ballot?

[morgieb]

Republicans triaging ME-02? Yikes, that should be one of the first seats on flip on paper.

Good news for us though.

[Not Me, Us]

Republicans triaging ME-02? Yikes, that should be one of the first seats on flip on paper.

Good news for us though.

Is it not the DCCC cancelling?

[Xing]

I hope the DCCC knows what it’s doing in ME-02. Golden might be a good candidate facing a rather weak Republican, but this is not exactly a district with a favorable trend for Democrats.

[ctherainbow]

It looks like the DCCC is canceling ad spending in PA-08 as well:

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1308113155260899328

Thank God, now I can stop hearing about how PA 08 is going to flip because it voted for Trump in 2016 and that is literally the only factor that matters and muh partisanship and rural PA trends.

Whew, felt good to get that one out.  Been telling ya’ll that Cartwright is a solid campaigner, and especially after Granville lost the GOP primary, Matt would be fine.

[morgieb]

Republicans triaging ME-02? Yikes, that should be one of the first seats on flip on paper.

Good news for us though.

Is it not the DCCC cancelling?

Yeah true, but I don't think they'd cancel if they thought the Republicans were going hard for which was kind of my point.

Still, the seat is red enough that even despite a lot of very favourable factors for the Dems declaring victory is risky TSTL.

[VAR]

The House Majority PAC is redirecting ad spending from TX-07 to TX-22.

https://www.texastribune.org/2020/10/21/texas-congress-democrats-optimistic/

[LimoLiberal]

The House Majority PAC is redirecting ad spending from TX-07 to TX-22.

https://www.texastribune.org/2020/10/21/texas-congress-democrats-optimistic/

Wow, Democrats have given up on Loser Lizzie Fletcher facing Star Recruit Wesley Hunt! This suburban Houston district will assuredly trend rightward considering the Beto ceiling and the Texas is fool's gold hypothesis.