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« Reply #75 on: October 27, 2020, 02:38:47 AM »

2008 CNN Election Night Coverage(Part 5):

11:00
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0B_U0FyRwvU

Blitzer: The polls have closed in the West and CNN can now project that Governor Warner will Carry the states of California, Washington and Hawaii while Mayor Guliani will carry the state of Idaho and win the one electoral vote in Nebraska . We are currently unable to make a projection in Oregon



Warner 231
Guiliani 191

Blitzer: Currently in Pennsylvania Mayor Guliani has increased his lead now to around 1 point, but is still trailing Governor Warner in Ohio , Missouri and Wisconsin

Brown: So John is Pennslyvania locked up in Mayor Guliani Column

King: Well at this point one problem for the Warner camp in Pennslyvania is that almost all of Philadelphia and Pittsburgh and yes while the Governor has made inroads here in the Western parts of the state they have easily been more than offest by the drops in the Philli metro area. So really at this point its likely that Pennsylvania will go Republican

Blitzer: Stand by as we have another call to make and that is that CNN can now project that Governor Warner will win the states ofArkansas and also the state of Wisconsin



Warner 247
Guiliani 191

Blitzer: Candy how is the crowd reacting

Crowley: The crowd cheered very loudly at that call as that means now they are within striking distance to 270 and they are liking how the states are going.

Blitzer: Ok John Back to you , so how does that Arkansas call change things

King: It changes things a lot because at this point Missouri,  Oregon and that one electoral vote in Maine is extremely likely to go to Governor Warner column which would give him 266 electoral votes meaning that the only state Mayor Guliani can afford to lose at this point is Maine and even then he must win at least one electoral vote in Maine or this race is over.

Brown: What if Mayor Guliani manages to carry Missouri

King: At this point if Mayor Guliani manages to carry Missouri I would say he would have carried all the states still astounding with the exceptions of Oregon and that one electoral vote in Maine and will win the election 283 to 255.

Dobbs: At this point though I would say a sports equivalent of this is Governor Warner currently leads 3-1 with game 7 at his stadium.

Gergen: Agreed


11:37:

Blitzer: CNN can now project that Mayor Guliani will carry Pennslyvania and its very big 21 electoral votes becoming the first Republican since 1988 to carry that state .  On the other hand we can project that Oregon and its 7 electoral votes will be won by Governor Warner



Warner 254
Guiliani 212

Blitzer: Lets go to Kate who is at the Rockefeller Center and Kate what was the crowd's reaction to the call

Bolduan: The crowd erupted when they heard that Pennslyvania had been won by Mayor Guliani and one member in the crowd said the results in North Carolina, Colorado, and Nevada look promising so all the mayor needs to do is win New Mexico , that district in Maine where he holds narrow leads at the moment and the make a slight comeback in Ohio and if he does he is the President-Elect

King: Well whoever that supporter is is correct about that fact but while .7 points may not look like a lot with less than 7 percent of the precincts left to report that means he must win 55.7% of the rest of the vote to carry the state and with parts of that 7% left in Cuyahoga County , I dont know slight is a word I would use.


11:51:

Blitzer: CNN is now able to project that Mayor Guliani will carry the states of North Carolina and Colorado both which will add 24 very critical electoral votes into his column while Governor Warner will carry Missouri and its 11 electoral votes which means he now is only 5 electoral votes away from winning the Presidency



Warner 265
Guiliani 236

King: So officially at this point Governor Warner can win the presidency by winning any of Ohio Nevada , New Mexico or by taking both districts in Maine .

Gergen: Yes and I think at this point its very likely he will because with so many votes outstanding in Cuyahoga its hard for me to see how Mayor Guliani can win that state so really unless something really astounding happens , Governor Warner at this point is very likely to take the presidency
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« Reply #76 on: October 27, 2020, 06:19:35 AM »

I think Warner will win Ohio (and the presidency) while Guiliani will win everything else. 285-253
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« Reply #77 on: October 27, 2020, 08:58:56 AM »

Warner will win this election. If he doesn't, that is not too realistic.
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« Reply #78 on: October 28, 2020, 12:46:51 AM »

2008 CNN Election Night Coverage(Part 6):


12:10:

Blitzer: At 10 minutes past minute CNN can now project that Oregon Senator Gordon Smith will win a third term. That means the Republicans so far will have 52 seats and could potentially flip all the other 3 and if Senator Lieberman joins their caucus would have 46 senators in their caucus next January. Now lets look a the Senate Battleground

Democratic Gains: NC, KY, NM, VA
Democratic Holds: LA
Undecided Battlegrounds: GA, CO , AK , CT*(Lieberman's party)
Republican Gains:
Republican Holds:  NH, MS-S, MN, OR

Brown: So far Georgia is very close with former Governor Barnes holding a slight lead and is a little over 50% so the only question can he hold that 50%

King: Yes the reason for that is first he made major inroads in South East Georgia as if you go along through rural Georgia he did even better than Governor Warner did , and then second here's a big one and that is Cobb County, his home and a key Republican suburban area and you can see Mayor Guliani won this area by 15 to 16 points while Governor Barnes was able to keep this county under 5 points. That is a big problem for Republicans as counties like Cobb are areas where Republicans are supposed to get their biggest raw votes margins to help offset the Democratic margins in Fulton and Dekalb County but instead no. So the only thing we are waiting for is can he hold that number above 50%  and we should get our answer by the end of this hour

Blitzer: With us is now Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid who will be the majority leader for the next two years. So first question what are your thoughts of the night

Reid: I think this is a great night and I think we very much could have 56 or maybe even 57 senators at the end of tonight , along with an expanded majority in the House and I believe at this point we will win the presidency too . This altogether in my mind will give us a mandate to help us move the nation past the divisive past 8 years and chart a new direction

Blitzer: Quick Question there have been rumors about not letting Senator Lieberman back in your caucus , so what do you have to say about that

Reid: Well we were gonna announce this tomorrow morning but since we made the decision I will right now and that is we will not let Senator Lieberman back in the caucus as he has done everything to help the Republicans over this campaign so he clearly has made it clear he isnt a Democrat anymore.

Blitzer: Ok thanks for coming on

Brown: With that announcement we should be able to in our CNN senate battleground mark Connecticut as a GOP pickup

Blitzer: Yes we will do that in a second

Democratic Gains: NC, KY, NM, VA
Democratic Holds: LA
Undecided Battlegrounds: GA, CO , AK
Republican Gains: CT*(Lieberman's party)
Republican Holds:  NH, MS-S, MN, OR


12:35
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0B_U0FyRwvU

Blitzer: CNN can now project that Governor Warner will win 3 of the 4 electoral votes in Maine while Mayor Guliani will win the 2nd district of Maine and pick up 1 electoral vote



Warner 268
Guiliani 237

King: So at this point Governor Warner needs to win just one state left outstanding and he's the next president while Mayor Guliani needs to go 4 for 4 if he wants to win the presidency.

Blitzer: Governor Warner now has taken a 1 point lead in Ohio but is trailing in Nevada and New Mexico. The reason we haven't called it is that we want to be certain that once all the votes are counted the margin doesnt meet the threshold for a recount

Gergen: Yes at this point I dont see how Mayor Guliani could overtake him in Ohio tonight


12:52:

Blitzer: We have a major projection to make and that is in the Georgia Senate race we can now project that Former Governor Roy Barnes will be the next senator of Georgia . That win gives the Democrats at least 55 seats while the Republicans currently will have at least 43 seats

Democratic Gains: NC, KY, NM, VA, GA
Democratic Holds: LA
Undecided Battlegrounds: CO , AK
Republican Gains: CT*(Lieberman's party)
Republican Holds:  NH, MS-S, MN, OR


Right now its basically a tie in Colorado so we will be waiting for those results and the polls will close in Alaska soon so we will take a break and come back when they do
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« Reply #79 on: October 31, 2020, 08:02:00 AM »

288-250 Warner I believe.
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« Reply #80 on: October 31, 2020, 02:01:43 PM »

2008 CNN Election Night Coverage(Part 7):

1:00 AM:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0B_U0FyRwvU

Breaking News: Mark Warner Elected President
Blitzer: We have a major projection to make and that is we can now project that Governor Mark Warner will be the next President of the United States as CNN is now able to project that he will carry the state of Ohio and its 20 electoral votes which will give him at least 288 electoral votes giving him enough electoral votes to win the Presidency. We can also project that Alaska will be won by Mayor Guliani



Warner 288
Guiliani 240


Blitzer: As you can now see in Richmond supporters of Mark Warner are now jumping up and down in how , waving the US flag and chanting USA USA USA.

Gergen: This was a very close election again but Governor Warner did manage to pull through in the end similarly to how President Bush did 4 years ago. The question for the GOP is how they respond to this cause many Republicans believe if a more socially conservative Republican was on the ballot they would have won Missouri, Arkansas and West Virginia which if they won Nevada and New Mexico as well would be enough to take the presidency but what they forget is I doubt any other Republican wins Pennsylvania or that electoral vote in Maine so they would have still lost. So Ohio would have been the deciding state either way and Republicans in that state need to find out what has gone wrong there since 2006.

Brown: We have just gotten word that Mayor Guiliani has called Governor Warner to concede the presidency and is now heading to the Rockefeller Center to give his concession speech. Something of interest is that means that we have not elected a President from the Northern Half of the United States since 1960.


1:15:

Blitzer: Now lets head to New York so we can see Mayor Guliani's concession speech

Guiliani: A Few moments ago I spoke to Governor Warner to congratulate him on winning the presidential race and wish him well over the next 4 years because now that he has won the election  , he will be all of our president so we should wish for his successes. It was a tough-fought campaign, and while its tough to lose like this , I can tell you that I am proud of the campaign we run and am proud of all of you for the effort you put in this campaign(Applause). Without your hard work we would never have come as far as we did , and while yes it is disappointing we should not give up because the issues we fought for are more important than any one man(Applause). 4 years ago the Democrats were disappointed at losing a similar tough-fought campaign , but worked hard for the next 4 years to build upon their hard work and were rewarded for their hard work this time and we must do the same(Applause). As for me , I had the honor of my life for being able to represent the greatest city on earth for 8 years (Applause) as your mayor, and then meet so many people on this campaign for the past two years and while it would have my honor to represent you as your president I wont forget the hard work you put in this campaign(Applause) and I will always fight for the issues we have fought for over the past two years(Applause). Thank You , May God Bless you and may god bless America


Blitzer: While Mayor Guliani was giving his concession speech CNN was able to project that Nevada will be won by Mayor Guliani



Warner 288
Guiliani 245

1:53:

Blitzer: Now lets head to Richmond where we can here President-Elect Warner's victory speech

Warner: A few moments ago I spoke to Mayor Guliani where I congratulated him for running a toughly fought campaign and also thanked him for all the years he put in serving the public including his years as Mayor of New York City(Applause). I also let him know that now that the election is over, I look forward to working with him in the coming weeks to help bring our country together after a longly fought campaign(Applause). To solve the many issues facing our nation from fixing our healthcare system, making our economy stronger than ever for the working men and women of this nation to winning the war on terror we have to come together as not Democrats or Republicans but Americans(Applause). They may not be easy issues to solve but if we come together we will solve them(Applause).

I want to thank all the volunteers and supporters of not only this campaign as it is through your hard work that we were able to win this election, and to the people who didnt support me I want to let you know that I pledge to work hard every day as President to earn your trust as well(Applause). I also want to thank everyone who has supported me throughout my career as without your support I would definitely not be here today and I want to let you know that I will do all I can in my utmost to justify the support you have given me(Applause). Thank You may God Bless You and May God Bless America .

 Blitzer: As President-Elect Warner was giving his victory speech , we were able to project the Colorado Senate seat will be won by the Democrat Mark Udall which will mean they will have at least 56 senate seats at the end of the night

Democratic Gains: NC, KY, NM, VA, GA, CO
Democratic Holds: LA
Undecided Battlegrounds: AK
Republican Gains: CT*(Lieberman's party)
Republican Holds:  NH, MS-S, MN, OR

Gergen: His victory speech was a classy speech and I could not agree more that after almost 2 years of politics its type to put that aside and come together as Americans.

Brown: Fully agreed

2:55:

Blitzer: CNN Can now project that Mayor Guliani will win the state of New Mexico and its 5 electoral votes.



Warner 288
Guiliani 250

Blitzer: So that marks the end of our coverage of election night 2008



8:45 am:

Cooper: We want to interrupt regular broadcasting to announce that in the Alaska senate race we can project that Senator Ted Stevens will be narrowly reelected. So the senate composition in the next congress will be 56 Democrats to 44 Republicans while in the House it will be 242 Democrats to 193 Republicans.

Democratic Gains: NC, KY, NM, VA, GA, CO
Democratic Holds: LA
Republican Gains: CT*(Lieberman's party)
Republican Holds:  NH, MS-S, MN, OR, AK

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« Reply #81 on: October 31, 2020, 02:04:16 PM »

So I have two updates left :

One of them will be an election results update where I will give the final map of the Presidential Race, Senate, and Gubernatorial Races along with the total house composition. Lastly I will also give the state by state results for the Presidential Race

The second update will be Warner's Cabinet
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« Reply #82 on: October 31, 2020, 02:47:14 PM »

Great job so far! I'm curious to see the state results.
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« Reply #83 on: October 31, 2020, 05:19:45 PM »
« Edited: November 01, 2020, 12:51:16 PM by Old School Republican »

Results of 2008 Election :

Presidential Election Results:



Former Virginia Governor Mark Warner(D-VA)/Senator Blanche Lincoln(D-AK) 288 50.34%
Former New York City Mayor Rudy Guliani(R-NY)/Senator John McCain(R-AZ) 250 48.75%

State by State Results: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1b-ZSnhmW9ompp8Xbf-d1ZinRUfaxewev/view?usp=sharing

Credit for Creating Template goes to President Johnson  



Democrats 56(+5)
Republicans 44(-5)

Note: FL is MS Special , and UT is WY Special and CT is Lieberman joining the GOP Caucus


House of Representatives:

Democrats: 242(+6)
Republicans: 193(-6)



Gubernatorial Results:




Seats that Flipped Parties: MO flipped to Dems

President Warner’s Cabinet :

President: Mark Warner(D-VA)
Vice President: Blanche Lincoln(D-AR)

Secretary of State : John Kerry(D-MA)
Secretary of Treasury: Lawrence Summers(D-CT)
Secretary of Defense: Sam Nunn(D-GA)
Attorney General: Joe Biden(D-DE)
Secretary of Interior: Stephanie Sandlin(D-SD)
Secretary of Agriculture: Tom Vilsack(D-IA)

Secretary of Commerce: Michael Bloomberg(R-NY)
Secretary of Labor: Hilda Solis(D-CA)
Secretary of Health and Human Services: Howard Dean(D-VT)
Secretary of Housing and Urban Development: Douglas Wilder(D-VA)
Secretary of Transportation: Jim Oberstar(D-MN)
Secretary of Energy: Ed Rendell(D-PA)

Secretary of Education: Tom Kean Sr(R-NJ)
Secretary of Veterans Affairs: Max Cleland(D-GA)
Secretary of Homeland Security: Raymond Kelly(I-NYC)

Chief of Staff: Terry McAuliffe(D-VA)
National Security Advisor: James Steinberg(D-MA)
UN Ambassador: Susan Rice(D-ME)

EPA Director: Lincoln Chaffe(R-RI)
OBM Director: John Spratt(D-SC)
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« Reply #84 on: November 01, 2020, 05:38:26 AM »

Coming Soon:

Barack Obama vs. George W. Bush (2012) (If Al Gore became president in 2000 and McCain in 2004)

Polling map:



Obama: 232
Bush: 206
Toss-up: 100

Map without toss-ups:



Obama: 298
Bush: 240

Stay tuned!
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« Reply #85 on: November 01, 2020, 05:56:07 AM »

Wow, that looks interesting, Chips. I think Obama would win here, but by a close margin. Is Dubya still governor of Texas, here?

It's kinda funny, in my novel, Al Gore wins in 2000 and McCain 2004 and 2008, before a fictional Democratic North Carolina senator runs in 2012 that ends in a 269-269 tie. She ultimately wins the House by one state delegation, but as it later turns out, through bribery, causing POTUS #45 to resign, allowing the protagonist of the story, who was vice president, to become president in 2014. That's the one in the Excel I sent OSR.
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« Reply #86 on: November 01, 2020, 06:27:04 AM »

Wow, that looks interesting, Chips. I think Obama would win here, but by a close margin. Is Dubya still governor of Texas, here?

It's kinda funny, in my novel, Al Gore wins in 2000 and McCain 2004 and 2008, before a fictional Democratic North Carolina senator runs in 2012 that ends in a 269-269 tie. She ultimately wins the House by one state delegation, but as it later turns out, through bribery, causing POTUS #45 to resign, allowing the protagonist of the story, who was vice president, to become president in 2014. That's the one in the Excel I sent OSR.

No but he did run for senator in 2002 and win. So he would've been a partly two term senator by the time the election rolled around.
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« Reply #87 on: November 01, 2020, 03:37:02 PM »

6:30PM: So, How are we all feeling about this election.

"Well, This has been a tight race right down to the end. There are nine battlegrounds in total all of which went to Obama 4 years ago. We're putting Indiana, Missouri and North Carolina, all of which also went to the President 4 years ago into Senator Bush's column."

Okay, We're now going over to our top reporter in Ohio, What's the mood like down there?

"Well, Polling has always indicated an extremely tight race. The latest poll had the President up by 2 points and Obama also has the slight lead here in the RCP poll average. It's not impossible for Senator Bush to win here but I will say that there were recent polls out of Hamilton, Montgomery and Stark counties and each tell their own unique but similar stories.

Hamilton:

Bush: 50%
Obama: 48%

Montgomery:

Obama: 49%
Bush: 48%

Stark:

Bush: 49%
Obama: 49%

It's very close in all 3 of these crucial bellwether counties. Which may tell you about what's going on in the state."

Okay, We're now going to Florida. How are things shaping up there.

"The senator held a 1 point lead in the final poll but the President still had the razor-thin edge in the RCP poll averages here. If Florida goes for the president Bush would have to win most of the other swing states. If Florida went to Bush than the President would also have to win most of the swing states."

Are there any polls out of any important counties?

"Well we did have a poll out of Pinellas County that had Senator Bush 1 point ahead but another poll out of Hillsborough County had Bush and Obama even."

Alright, 2 of the most important battlegrounds up for grabs.

We're also going to be watching the results very closely in Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Iowa, Wisconsin, New Hampshire and Virginia.
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« Reply #88 on: November 01, 2020, 03:40:02 PM »

7PM:

We can project:

For Bush:

Indiana (FLIP)
Kentucky
Georgia
South Carolina

For Obama:

Vermont

Too close to call:

Virginia



Bush: 44 EV's
Obama: 3 EV's
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« Reply #89 on: November 01, 2020, 03:58:19 PM »

I definitely like the Warner cabinet here, especially Joe Biden, Terry McAuliffe and Mike Bloomberg. A true moderte hero administration.
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« Reply #90 on: November 01, 2020, 05:01:05 PM »

If Bush wins FL from the polling map and holds the other battlegrounds he’s ahead in we would end with a 269-269 map .

So it would depend on who controls congress at the end of the night
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« Reply #91 on: November 01, 2020, 07:22:53 PM »

If Bush wins FL from the polling map and holds the other battlegrounds he’s ahead in we would end with a 269-269 map .

So it would depend on who controls congress at the end of the night

I have a few surprises on the way. Trust me. Smiley
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« Reply #92 on: November 01, 2020, 07:33:06 PM »

It's 7:30PM.

Calls for Bush: West Virginia

Too close to call:

Ohio
North Carolina

We're in Virginia now. We can see Bush has a lead in Loudoun. Obama also only has narrow leads in Henrico and Suffolk. It is still very possible for Obama to win the state if all of this happens but Bush is the early favorite to win here I'd say. Obama won Virginia by 4 points after going to John McCain by 11 points in 2004 so the fact that VA is looking to be leaning Republican again truly shows that this will be a very competitive race. Bush also had a 2 point lead here in the RCP average.



Bush: 49 EV's
Obama: 3 EV's
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« Reply #93 on: November 01, 2020, 07:38:28 PM »

8PM:

Calls for Obama:

CT
DE
DC
IL
ME (3/4)
MD
MA
NJ
RI

Calls for Bush:

AL
MS
MO
OK
TN

Too close to call:

FL
NH
PA
ME-02



Bush: 92
Obama: 78
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« Reply #94 on: November 01, 2020, 10:27:01 PM »

Who's Bush's running mate?
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« Reply #95 on: November 02, 2020, 04:54:29 AM »


I'll get to that later.
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« Reply #96 on: November 06, 2020, 04:58:36 PM »
« Edited: November 06, 2020, 05:09:17 PM by Chips »

8:30PM: Bush wins Arkansas:

9PM:

Bush wins:

Arizona
Kansas
Louisiana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Texas
Wyoming

Obama wins:

New York

Too close to call:

Colorado
Michigan
Minnesota
New Mexico
Wisconsin

9:34PM: Bush wins North Carolina



Bush: 190
Obama: 107

How's it looking?

"Well, Bush has a strong lead in Virginia and also leads in Florida, New Hampshire and Colorado. Obama leads in Minnesota, Michigan, Pennsylvania, New Mexico, Maine's 2nd district and Ohio while Wisconsin is about even."
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« Reply #97 on: November 06, 2020, 05:05:16 PM »
« Edited: November 06, 2020, 05:10:57 PM by Chips »

10PM:

Bush wins: MT, UT

"We can project Iowa and Nevada are both too close to call but Bush has leads in both."

10:21PM:

We can project Obama wins Minnesota and Michigan but we can also project Bush will win Virginia which is our first battleground call of the night."

Why did Virginia flip back?

"Well, Exit polls revealed Obama is only winning Fairfax by 13 points rather than the 22 points he won it by last time around, Bush is also leading in Loudoun, Suffolk, Radford, Kings and Queens, Prince William, Montgomery, Suffolk, Chesapeake and Virginia Beach all of which went to Obama 4 years ago. We can't say yet what the margin will be but it will probably be between 5 and 6 points."

How about the other battlegrounds?

"the Senator is leading in Florida, Colorado, Iowa and Nevada. President Obama leads in Ohio, New Mexico, Maine's CD 2 and Pennsylvania. Wisconsin and New Hampshire are still even."

11PM:

Obama wins: CA, OR, WA, HI
Bush wins: ID

11:19PM: Bush wins FL and CO. Obama wins PA.



Bush: 254
Obama: 232


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« Reply #98 on: November 06, 2020, 05:15:12 PM »

12:19AM

We have 2 major projections:

"We can project the President will win Ohio with 18 electoral votes and New Mexico with 5 electoral votes."

"This puts the President at 255 and Bush at 254."

Why did Ohio go to Obama?

"Well while Bush will flip Hamilton County, Obama is leading in other swing counties like Montgomery, Ottawa, Wood and Stark."



Obama: 255
Romney: 254
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« Reply #99 on: November 06, 2020, 08:16:16 PM »

You mean Bush not Romney right .


Also the 269-269 scenario is possible if Bush wins NV IA AK
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