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Question: Which Midterm Scenario do you want me to do
#1
1974 Without Watergate
 
#2
1994 if Bush won Re-Election
 
#3
2002 without 9/11
 
#4
2018 if Hillary won in 2016
 
#5
2022 if Trump retired after losing
 
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Total Voters: 5

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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #100 on: November 06, 2020, 09:28:18 PM »

You mean Bush not Romney right .


Also the 269-269 scenario is possible if Bush wins NV IA AK
Oh, Nice catch! It may or may not be 269-269.
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« Reply #101 on: November 06, 2020, 09:31:28 PM »

Here's where the 4 remaining battlegrounds stand:

NEVADA

Bush: 503,129
Obama: 492,148

IOWA

Bush: 739,121
Obama: 725,357

WISCONSIN

Obama: 1,311,432
Bush: 1,310,428

NEW HAMPSHIRE

Bush: 277,175
Obama: 277,169
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« Reply #102 on: November 06, 2020, 09:36:27 PM »

1AM: We can project that Bush will win AK.


1:37AM: We have a major projection. Bush will win Iowa and 6 electoral votes. It's very tight but Bush we can project will have those 6 electoral votes.

NOTE: I decided to swap the color scheme to make things a little more authentic.



Bush: 263
Obama: 255
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« Reply #103 on: November 06, 2020, 09:39:27 PM »

BREAKING NEWS: We can project Nevada, Wisconsin and New Hampshire will all go through contested results. Bush leads in NV while NH and WI continue to both be tight as a tick.
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« Reply #104 on: November 06, 2020, 09:57:11 PM »

GEORGE W. BUSH WINS PRESIDENCY WITH NEVADA AND WISCONSIN, PRESIDENT OBAMA NARROWLY RETAINS NEW HAMPSHIRE



Bush: 279
Obama: 259
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« Reply #105 on: January 02, 2021, 05:32:20 PM »

BUMP. This was a great project and I hope this gets revived at some point.
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« Reply #106 on: January 02, 2021, 05:56:53 PM »

BUMP. This was a great project and I hope this gets revived at some point.

I’ll see if this can be revived
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« Reply #107 on: January 04, 2021, 02:27:58 PM »
« Edited: March 18, 2021, 02:43:09 PM by President Johnson »

After talking to OSR, I'm pleased to do next one.


MSNBC Live Coverage - DECISION 2016



Terry McAuliffe/Melinda Gates (D) vs. Marco Rubio/James Mattis (R)


Image Sources: Wikimedia Commons (PD): Link 1, Link 2


Mika Brzezinski: Good evening to everyone in America, and hello to everyone around the world. I'm pleased to begin this coverage of election night 2016. With me are Joe, Willie, Reverend Al Sharpton and Richard Haas. A long and hard fought campaign is coming to an end. It's finally the decision of voters. Isn't it, Joe?

Joe Scarborough: Indeed it is, Mika. Welcome from me as well. Finally, it is November 8, 2016, and voters will finally determine the 45th president of the United States, who will succeed Barack Obama next January. The election will be decided by the Governor of Virginia, Terry McAuliffe, the Democratic nominee, and Florida Senator Marco Rubio, the Republican nominee. Both had a competitive primary. On Democratic side, McAuliffe jumped in relatively late, declaring his candidacy on September 1, 2015, following Vice President Joe Biden's decline to run. Biden was considered the frontrunner after Hillary Clinton removed herself from the process due to health concerns as well as the ongoing E-Mail investigation. Governor McAuliffe started off as the favorite and was backed by the Establishment, but received a strong challenge from Senator Bernie Sanders.

On the Republican side, there was a much wider field of over 15 candidates. Rubio ultimately beat back strong challenges from Senator Ted Cruz and political outsider Ben Carson. It was not until June Marco Rubio secured the nomination.

Willie Geist: You said it, Joe, this was a primary of the outsiders. Now McAuliffe took the nomination and Rubio is seen some sort of bridge between the GOP Establishment and the Tea Party, both candidates chose exceptional running mates: Rubio picked General James Mattis, who never held public office. And McAuliffe also selected a running mate with no experience in public office, businesswoman Melinda Gates, co-founder of the Gates Foundation and wife to Bill Gates. If elected, Bill Gates, multi-billionaire and Microsoft founder, would be the Second Gentleman of the United States. Mr. Gates held a relatively low key role during the campaign, though he spoke at the DNC and gave two televised interviews. He also invested about 100 million dollars in the campaign of his wife. While Melinda Gates focused on economic opportunities and made efforts to gain female voters for McAuliffe, Mattis launched attacks on the Obama Administration's foreign policy. Mattis repeatedly criticized President Obama's Middle East approach and demanded tougher actions on ISIS. Rubio for his part focused on repealing Obamacare and tax reform. McAuliffe pledged to defend Obamacare and promised to increase the minimum wage to 15$ an hour. Latter was a compromise with Sanders; McAuliffe pledged to support a hike to 12$ during the primaries.

Joe Scarbourough: Thank you, Willie. Let's bring in Steve Kornacki, our man at the board. Steve, how does final polling look like?

Steve Kornacki: Certain is only that nothing is certain, Joe, that much I can say. The biggest surprises we have are Nevada, where Rubio has managed to hold constant lead since late September. Meanwhile, McAuliffe has narrowly polled ahead in North Carolina, after polls where neck in neck ever since the conventions. However, both are within the margin of error, as are all light shaded states. Our final polling map looks as follows:




Joe Scarborough: We go into a short break before MSNC returns for coverage. Stay tuned my friends!
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« Reply #108 on: January 04, 2021, 02:46:53 PM »

Cant wait to see this
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« Reply #109 on: January 04, 2021, 02:55:08 PM »

Guessing a narrow Cuomo victory but if NC polling is wrong and Rubio sweeps the battlegrounds it could be a Rubio win.
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« Reply #110 on: January 04, 2021, 03:05:55 PM »

My prediction is this map:




Also Rubio wins the PV while losing the EC
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« Reply #111 on: January 04, 2021, 03:07:57 PM »

Why on earth didn't Rubio chose a Women on his Ticket?
Rubio gets Wisconsin I hope and with it the Presidency!
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« Reply #112 on: January 11, 2021, 01:58:15 PM »
« Edited: March 18, 2021, 02:45:29 PM by President Johnson »

MSNBC Live Coverage - DECISION 2016






7.00 p.m.

Joe Scarborough: Welcome again to all of you at home, across the nation and around the world. This is Morning Joe, covering the 2016 election for MSNBC. Together we watch the race to succeed President Barack Obama unfold this night. Now, out clock is saying it's is seven p.m. here in our studio. That means first polls have closed in the first states. I turn over to Steve Kornacki. Steve, your turn.

State Kornacki: Thank you, Joe. Let's right right into it: Based on all data we have at this point, we can already call two states: The state of Indiana will go to Marco Rubio. No surprise here. This was expected all along. President Obama surpringly captured the state in 2008 by a very slim margin, but it returned to its Republican in 2012. This year, it's no different. 11 votes for Marco Rubio. And one more: Kentucky - no surprise either - goes for the Rubio/Mattis ticket as well.

Second, the state of Vermont. Home of Bernie Sanders, this state is a Democratic strongold, especially at the national level. We are now calling Vermont for Terry McAuliffe. The Virginia governor has earned his first three electoral votes this night. But of course, that's just the beginning.

More poll closings are in Florida and South Carolina. It's a surprise we can't call the latter at this moment. Does that spell trouble for Rubio? There no indication for that, but we were informed they had some issues with reporting all numbers. However, that should get fixed briefly.

Let's check the big board:



Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL)/General James Mattis (R-WA): 19 EV.
Governor Terrence McAuliffe (D-VA)/Businesswoman Melinda Gates (D-WA): 3 EV.
Too close/early to call: 38 EV.


7.30 p.m.

Mika Brezinski: Welcome back to Morning Joe's coverage of election night. Minutes ago, we received word that South Carolina is indeed going for Rubio/Mattis. Hardly a surprise. That brings their total up to 28 electoral votes. Still a very long way to go. There is one more state: West Virgina. Obviously, this is a rock solid Republican state at the national level. Steve?

Steve Kornacki: It indeed is, Mika. Terry McAuliffe got smoked here. Our data suggests Rubio takes the state by at least 35 points. But, it's a small state and nothing that changes anything here.

Let's take a look now:



Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL)/General James Mattis (R-WA): 33 EV.
Governor Terry McAuliffe (D-VA)/Businesswoman Melinda Gates (D-WA): 3 EV.
Too close/early to call: 29 EV.

We take a break before 8 o'clock poll closings. That's a ton of states. Stay tuned!
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« Reply #113 on: January 12, 2021, 01:05:24 AM »

Lol looking at the map for one second , I thought Cuomo won KY and Rubio won VT till I realized oh these aren’t atlas colors lol
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« Reply #114 on: January 14, 2021, 02:29:40 PM »
« Edited: March 18, 2021, 02:48:11 PM by President Johnson »

MSNBC Live Coverage - DECISION 2016






8.00 p.m.

Joe Scarborough: Welcome back, Ladies and Gentlemen. We have now eight o'clock and several new poll closings. In some of them, we already have a winner. Take us through these, Steve.

Steve Kornacki: We have, Joe. Marco Rubio can add a number of states to his column. However, none of them changes much of race yet. Let's start with a bunch of southern states: Mississippi, Alabama, Tennessee, Oklahoma and Missouri can already be called. Polling suggested latter may be somewhat competitive, but that's not the case. The McAuliffe campaign wisely didn't contest it, either. That's getting Rubio up to 76 electoral votes. Still a lot to go.

However, Governor McAuliffe is no longer stuck with the three electoral votes from the state of Vermont. He can add several more to his tally. MSNBC confirms that Terry McAuliffe has carried the following states: Illinois, New Jersey, Maryland, Delaware, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Massachusetts and Vermont. He also project that he won at least three out of four votes from Maine. Remember this is one of the two states that allocate their electoral votes by congressional district and at-large. McAuliffe carried the state as whole and the first district. The second is more competitive and remains uncalled. Furthermore, McAuliffe won the District of Culumbia, which is hardly a surprise here.

By looking at our vote tally, McAuliffe has now taken a narrow lead. All other states you see in green here are too early to call:



Governor Terrence McAuliffe (D-VA)/Businesswoman Melinda Gates (D-WA): 78 EV.
Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL)/General James Mattis (R-WA): 76 EV.
Too close/early to call: 116 EV.

Back to you, Joe.

Joe Scarborough: Thank you, Steve. Any surprises at the congressional level yet?

Steve Kornacki: Not yet, but we actually expect the Democrats to make up ground. Remember that they both have a favorable senate map and come from a very low number of seats in the House. We don't expect latter to flip, however, the senate could get very close.

Joe Scarborough: Morning Joe is back in a few mintutes. Stay here.


8.30 p.m.


Willie Geist: I just hear that we have one more poll closing: The state of Arkansas. We can confirm that Marco Rubio has won the state by a healthy margin. This was once a Democratic stronghold, but didn't vote Democratic since the days of Bill Clinton, a native of Arkansas. We expect Terry McAuliffe to stay under 40% here.

Joe Scarborough: Indeed, this is no surprise here. When can we expect the first swing state to be called?

Willie Geist: Depends on what you consider a swing state. I can guarantee you Marco Rubio will win at least one, if not a handful, Obama states from 2012. Obviously their campaign feels good about Florida, but they're also very optimistic at Iowa. Nevada, too, though Ohio and North Carolina seem tougher than they expected.

Mika Brzezinski: Especially North Carolina. These early voting numbers we have seen so far are encouraging for the McAuliffe campaign. They have heavily targeted African American voters. I mean, there was a reason President Obama spent two full days there in the past three weeks, as did Vice President Biden and South Carolina congressman Jim Clyburn from neighboring South Carolina. Whether that will be enough is another question.

Joe Scarborough: Yes, and I have warned on this show that Republicans shouldn't take this for granted just because Mitt Romney won the state back despite losing nationally. On the other hand, it seems like Republicans have done a good job in Nevada and even Pennsylvania. The fact that McAuliffe ended his campaign in Philadelphia and Joe Biden made a number of last minute stumps definitely tells you that they are nervous. McAuliffe is leading in the polls here, but no room for comfort.

Willie Geist: Before the nine o'clock poll closings come in, let's take a brief look at the updated map:



Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL)/General James Mattis (R-WA): 82 EV.
Governor Terrence McAuliffe (D-VA)/Businesswoman Melinda Gates (D-WA): 78 EV.
Too close/early to call: 116 EV.


Let's stay with us for more.
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« Reply #115 on: January 21, 2021, 02:40:07 PM »
« Edited: March 18, 2021, 02:50:50 PM by President Johnson »

MSNBC Live Coverage - DECISION 2016






+++ 8.54 p.m. Rubio wins Florida +++


Joe Scarborough: There were go! The first battleground call is my homestate of Florida. The Republican has carried the state, we can project, given all data that's coming in. Despite this being Marco Rubio's homestate, the McAuliffe campaign made a real effort to be competitive. We know from campaign officials that they at least wanted Republicans to play on defense here, and it sort of worked. But, they have failed to win the state. The governor himself said he believed to have a chance here, but ultimately, it didn't materialize. I told you so from the beginning, my friends! Don't believe the polls, which showed McAuliffe leading on average in September, before the picture changed.

Willie Geist: There go 29 electoral votes. Rubio now cracking 100 electoral votes. That's the first state President Obama won that goes Republican.

Mika Brzezinski: Indeed, that's a state Barack Obama won twice, actually. However, the night is not over and we know from officials of the McAuliffe campaign that they see multiple paths for the governor to become the 45th president left open.

Joe Scarborough: Yes, we'll see. Now close to nine o'clock, it's your turn at the big board, Steve.


9.00 p.m.

Steve Kornacki: We have a ton of states, where polls closed. We are going to start with states that the Republicans outright won: Louisiana, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska all but the second district, Kansas, Oklahoma and Wyoming. All going Republican. In the states of Texas and Arizona, it's yet too early, but we expect them going red as well. Several states in number, but not worth a lot of electoral votes. So don't be confused with this mich red on the map now. We're still a long way to go. We're also unsure in New Mexico and most states filled in the Midwest, though we expect them to lean Democratic.

Governor McAuliffe and his running mate, Businesswoman Melida Gates, also get a stack of electoral votes at this hour: The state of Colorado is going Democratic. It's not a huge surprise, but interesting that we can call this so early. This is a state that George W. Bush won twice, but that has changed a lot since the days of the 43rd president was in office. Maeco Rubio had hopes to make inroads with the Hispanic community here, but ultimately they decided to invest more into New Mexico after internal numbers showed that may be a better idea.

And, of course, Terry McAuliffe has decisively won his homestate of New York. He is expected to crack 60% here. 29 electoral votes for McAuliffe. Let's update the map:



Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL)/General James Mattis (R-WA): 138 EV.
Governor Terrence McAuliffe (D-VA)/Businesswoman Melinda Gates (D-WA): 116 EV.
Too close/early to call: 178 EV.


+++ 9.19 p.m. Georgia for Rubio, New Hampshire and Virginia for McAuliffe +++

Joe Scarborough: We interrupt the break for three important calls: Georgia is going Republican. That was expected, but McAuliffe made it closer than in previous cycles, it seems. That's a dynamic and growing southern state that gets more and more diverse. Even though the Rubio campaign managed to defend this territory, the Republicans can no longer take the Peach State for granted.

Willie Geist: You say it, Joe, the McAuliffe campaign did put up a number of ads on the air here, but shifted the focus in the closing days on North Carolina. We will see how that plays out. Right now, it's extremely close and counting slow.

Joe Scarborough: Alright, the other projections are missing out: Virginia and New Hampshire again go into the McAuliffe column. Latter was quite a fight, but Virginia is just like Colorado. A state George W. Bush won quite easily, but has voted for Barack Obama twice. Seems like they wanted to keep a Democrat at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue. That means McAuliffe is somewhat narrowed the gap in the total count. But we're far from done. Look at the map now before we go to break again:



Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL)/General James Mattis (R-WA): 154 EV.
Governor Terrence McAuliffe (D-VA)/Businesswoman Melinda Gates (D-WA): 133 EV.
Too close/early to call: 145 EV.
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« Reply #116 on: January 22, 2021, 05:52:41 PM »

CO and VA being called this early for Cuomo is bad news for Rubio
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« Reply #117 on: January 25, 2021, 02:26:05 PM »
« Edited: March 18, 2021, 02:53:29 PM by President Johnson »

MSNBC Live Coverage - DECISION 2016






+++ 9.40 p.m. Minnesota for McAuliffe +++

Joe Scarborough: We have another one, Steve. Go ahead!

Steve Kornacki: We have Joe, welcome back to our coverage to all of you out there. MSNBC, NBC News and the New York Times are confirming that Terry McAuliffe has carried the state of Minnesota and its ten electoral votes. Looks like the governor will win here by around five points, 51% to 46%. Remember back in the primaries, Rubio had a stunning victory here over his Republican opponents, what ultimately helped him to get ahead on Super Tuesday. However, McAuliffe lost the Democratic primary by almost ten points. Yet again that shows us that primaries are not general elections and anything can happen. Both campaigns targeted the state, though Rubio and Mattis were far more focussed on Iowa, where we expect them to win. Meanwhile, Governor McAuliffe ignored the advice or some aides that the state was a lock and did invest a ton of money here. He also held two rallies in the five weeks leading up to today.

Willie Geist: Indeed, Mr. McAuliffe did his homework after losing the primary against Bernie Sanders here. However, Republicans don't need the state and if it went the other way, you'd see a lot of panic at McAuliffe Headquarters right now. But that didn't happen as they pulled through.


+++ 9.49 p.m. Texas for Rubio +++

Steve Kornacki: Alright, here we go: The second biggest price of the night is called: The state of Texas goes into the Rubio column, as the senator finally took a lead of nearly a million votes. Given how much is counted, it's fair to say that he will win the Lone Star State. Remarkable though is that McAuliffe has come closer than President Obama so far. Democrats are dreaming of blue Texas for quite a while because of changing demographics, but 2016 is way too early. We expect Rubio to win by about ten points, maybe eleven.

Joe Scarborough: Yes, I told Democrats on this show that Texas isn't happening in '16, and not in '20 either. Mark my words! Not happening! Talk to me again in eight or twelve years and we have a discussion. McAuliffe made the right choice by focussing on New Mexico, Arizona and Florida when it comes to the South and South-West.

Mika Brzezinski: Your words in god's ear. Democrats did pick up at least one House seat in Texas, though. Just for anyone who's asking. But we expect Republicans to keep the chamber while the senate is a pure tossup.

Steve Kornacki: It still is, but we can now project that Carlos Lopez-Cantera has won Marco Rubio's senate seat. He was not running for reelection and Lopez-Cantera defeated a number of GOP rivals in the primary. Now the lieutenant governor will go the Washington, having defeated Patrick Murphy.

Let's look at the map:



Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL)/General James Mattis (R-WA): 192 EV.
Governor Terrence McAuliffe (D-VA)/Businesswoman Melinda Gates (D-WA): 143 EV.
Too close/early to call: 97 EV.


10.00 p.m.

Joe Scarborough: Alright, we have more poll closings at this hour. These are a bunch of Western states in the Rocky Mountains. Steve, tell us more.

Steve Kornacki: And the state of Iowa. You left that out, Joe. That being said, no result from Iowa yet. It's too early, although we expect Senator Rubio is good showing here. This would be another pickup from 2012 and President Obama's victory. Anyway, Marco Rubio has more to add on his tally. States we are calling right now: Utah and Montana. These states stay in the Republican column and give them some modest gains. However, as Rubio crosses 200 electoral votes, he is close to having carried all red states. From now on, he has to start winning more battlegrounds to maintain his lead. McAuliffe for his part has the West Coast in his bag, but he also needs bellwethers to gain steam. His easiest path is through the Midwest now.


+++ 10.09 p.m. McAuliffe takes New Mexico +++

Steve Kornacki: I just wanted to move to the Big Board, but there is another call: It was a little closer than expected, but New Mexico is sticking with the Democrats and has been declared for Governor McAuliffe this very minute. A small, but important win for the Virginia governor. He adds another five electoral votes to his tally. Take a look, before we go to break:



Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL)/General James Mattis (R-WA): 201 EV.
Governor Terrence McAuliffe (D-VA)/Businesswoman Melinda Gates (D-WA): 148 EV.
Too close/early to call: 98 EV.
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« Reply #118 on: January 25, 2021, 04:37:14 PM »

Down to the Rust Belt?
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« Reply #119 on: January 25, 2021, 06:26:11 PM »

My bet is Rubio is going to take Wisconsin (Scott Walker, Paul Ryan will get him over the top) and North Carolina eventually and this whole Election comes down to Pennsylvania & Michigan.
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« Reply #120 on: January 26, 2021, 02:26:02 AM »

I think WI will decide the ball game
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« Reply #121 on: March 06, 2021, 08:14:58 PM »

Causally watching cuomos career implode
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« Reply #122 on: March 18, 2021, 02:55:39 PM »

So, due the scandals, I replaced Andrew Cuomo with Terry McAuliffe. Another establishment governor at the age of 59 in 2016, but whose integrity is (very likely) out of question.

Look forward to the finish within the next few days.
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« Reply #123 on: March 18, 2021, 04:49:40 PM »

The battleground map even fits a T-MAC vs Rubio race more than a Cuomo vs Rubio race as well
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« Reply #124 on: March 22, 2021, 02:08:54 PM »

MSNBC Live Coverage - DECISION 2016






+++ 10.31 p.m. Iowa for Rubio! +++

Joe Scarborough: Alright, folks, Steve has some news on the big board. Steve?

Steve Kornacki: That's correct, Joe, I was just told that Marco Rubio flipped the state of Iowa from blue in 2012 to red in 2016. Six more electoral votes on his tally. Polls suggested that would happen, so I assume they're not too worried over in McAuliffe Headquarters. Republicans meanwhile breathe some relief that Rubio won this one, just as Chuck Grassley easily won reelection.

Willie Geist: There was much talk during this campaign that Democrats may have lost grip with white rural voters, especially in parts of the Midwest. Looks like that is true in Iowa.

Steve Kornacki: You're correct, Willie, though it's more compley than that. Now as we're getting a broader picture here, we witness increasing divide between rural and urban areas. Even compared to 2012. McAuliffe is doing much worse than President Obama in rural areas, especially in the Midwest. However, he's ourtunning Obama in several metro areas and parts of the Suburbs. Iowa doesn't have a metro area where McAuliffe could rack up a lot of votes. That's why he has lost the state.

Mika Brzezinski: I think there is something to it when it comes to the Midwest, but it's remarkable that McAuliffe is still running close in Ohio.

Steve Kornacki: Yes, Mika, that's true. McAuliffe was way ahead early on because Democratic areas were counted first, but Rubio has massively catched up at this hour. However, he's still behind by about 50,000 votes and most rural areas have finished their counting, including the River Valley, which was once a Democratic stronghold but shifted rightwards. I think this one will be really close in the end.

Joe Scarborough: I have to interrupt you, my friends, we got word from Michigan.

Steve Kornacki: Yes, Joe, we have. MSNBC joins other news outlets, including Fox News, and calls Michigan for Governor Terry McAuliffe. A state Republicans have barely targeted, unlike Wisconsin, remains in the Democratic column. 16 eletoral votes go to the McAuliffe/Gates ticket. As the West Coast is still outstanding, the Democrats still haven't catched up to Rubio's lead. However, Rubio and Mattis have to win more battlegrounds to come close to 270. And right now, all their must haves are pretty much in.



Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL)/General James Mattis (R-WA): 207 EV.
Governor Terrence McAuliffe (D-VA)/Businesswoman Melinda Gates (D-WA): 164 EV.


+++ 11 p.m. McAuliffe racks up West Coast Electoral Votes +++



Joe Scarborough: Here we are at eleven o'clock and the West Coast states and Idaho close their polls. What can you tell us, Steve?

Steve Kornacki: I can tell you that there are no surprises. Idaho, as expected goes for the Rubio/Mattis ticket, and it isn't even close. However, these four electoral votes are not much compared to what McAuliffe is getting: He's easily winning California, the biggest prize of the night and its 55 electoral votes. He's also crusing to victory in Oregon and wins the state of Washington, the homestate of his running mate, Businesswoman Melissa Gates, wife of Bill Gates. If elected, Ms. Gates would not just be the first female vice president, but also the first from Washington. She's also the first Westerner on a Democratic ticket.

Outstanding the West remains Nevada, which is very competitive. Both parties are not just eying the presidential race in the Silver State, but also a critical senate election. Harry Reid announced his retirement, making this an open race between Catherine Cortez-Masto, the Democrat, and Republican Joe Heck. As of now, Cortez-Masto is slightly running ahead of McAuliffe. In other states like Ohio, we witness the exact opposite, with Rob Portman already the declared winner. In North Carolina, meanwhile, there is almost no ticket splitting between presidential and senate elections.

Now looking at the big board, McAuliffe has pulled ahead, though he's not near 270 right now:



Governor Terrence McAuliffe (D-VA)/Businesswoman Melinda Gates (D-WA): 238 EV.
Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL)/General James Mattis (R-WA): 211 EV.
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