Predict the Oct. 11 Vienna state election / Who would you vote for ?
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  Predict the Oct. 11 Vienna state election / Who would you vote for ?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Who would you vote for ?
#1
SPÖ (Social Democrats, center-left)
#2
FPÖ (Freedom Party, far-right)
#3
Green Party (environmentalist, left)
#4
ÖVP (Conservatives, right)
#5
NEOS (Liberals, centrist)
#6
THC (Team Strache, far-right)
#7
LINKS (far-left, incl. KPÖ)
#8
SÖZ (left, migrantist)
#9
BEER Party (satirical)
#10
Invalid
#11
I wouldn't vote
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Author Topic: Predict the Oct. 11 Vienna state election / Who would you vote for ?  (Read 763 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« on: September 17, 2020, 10:26:24 AM »
My prediction:

42.1% SPÖ (+2.5%)
18.6% ÖVP (+9.4%)
15.2% Greens (+3.4%)
  9.9% FPÖ (-20.9%)
  6.5% NEOS (+0.3%)
  4.0% THC (+4.0%)
  1.4% LEFT (+1.4%)
  1.3% SÖZ (+1.3%)
  1.0% BEER (+1.0%)
  0.0% Others (-2.4%)

Turnout: 68.3% (-6.5%)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Viennese_state_election

5% threshold.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 21, 2020, 03:29:41 AM »
I'd vote SPÖ in Vienna.

A strengthened SPÖ as a counter-balance to the power-hungry ÖVP is the most important thing right now.
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,166
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P P
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« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2020, 03:09:02 AM »
I'd vote for Links
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 09, 2020, 01:23:29 AM »
My updated prediction (I always suck at predicting our own elections, I’m much better at predicting US elections):

43.0% SPÖ (+3.4%)
15.7% ÖVP (+6.5%)
13.9% Greens (+2.1%)
10.4% FPÖ (-20.4%)
  6.8% NEOS (+0.6%)
  5.3% THC (+5.3%)
  2.2% BEER (+2.2%)
  1.4% LEFT (+1.4%)
  1.3% SÖZ (+1.3%) 
  0.0% Others (-2.4%)

Turnout: 68.3% (-6.5%)
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 10, 2020, 03:45:14 AM »
I think the SPÖ will win all of Vienna's 23 districts tomorrow, something that has not happened for a long time.

2015:



Results in English:

https://www.wien.gv.at/english/NET-EN/GR151/GR151-109.htm

The FPÖ won the vote-rich Simmering and Floridsdorf districts last time, but Mayor Ludwig (who's a resident of Floridsdorf) will easily win both tomorrow.
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CumbrianLefty
CumbrianLeftie
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Posts: 11,754
United Kingdom


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« Reply #5 on: October 10, 2020, 10:51:18 AM »
Looks like our "own" poll might have the winner right at least.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 12, 2020, 04:02:38 AM »
My first prediction was slightly better than the updated one.

But the second was more accurate for Greens, NEOS and BEER.
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