AZ-Monmouth: Kelly +4

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

September 11-15
420 registered/likely voters
MoE: 4.8%

Registered voters:
Changes with March 11-14 poll

No one 1% (n/c)
Other 0% (but some voters) (-1)
Undecided 4% (n/c)


With turnout modelled as higher than 2016's (likely voters):

Kelly 50%
McSally 46%
Other 0% (but some voters)
Undecided 4%

With turnout modelled as lower than 2016's (likely voters):

Kelly 49%
McSally 48%
Other 0% (but some voters)
Undecided 4%