Change Research: New/Infrequent Voters (MI, PA, WI, FL, NC, AZ)

[wbrocks67]

3,098 new and/or infrequent voters in the six closest battleground states: Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The poll was conducted September 9-13.

For the purposes of this poll, new or infrequent voters are a combination of a) voters who registered for the first time in 2016, b) voters who skipped 2016, c) voters who skipped 2018.

Biden 52
Trump 37
Jorgensen 4
Hawkins 1
Undecided 4

https://crooked.com/articles/pollercoaster-2020-marginal-voters/

2016 vote breakdown:
Clinton 35
Trump 29
Did not vote 30
Johnson/Stein 5

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

MoE: 1.8%

You've posted the post-messaging results (although there was pro-Biden and pro-Trump messaging in there, that still distorts it a fair bit). Pre-messaging results:

Biden 49%
Trump 37%
Jorgensen 4%
Would not vote 2%
Hawkins 1%
Not sure 4%

[Badger]

MoE: 1.8%

You've posted the post-messaging results (although there was pro-Biden and pro-Trump messaging in there, that still distorts it a fair bit). Pre-messaging results:

Biden 49%
Trump 37%
Jorgensen 4%
Would not vote 2%
Hawkins 1%
Not sure 4%

How screened are these individuals for likelihood of voting this time? If not rigorously screened, I have a hard time believing that a cross-section of Voters of which nearly one-third did not vote last time is approaching 98% likely to vote.