NC-Suffolk University/USAToday: Biden +3
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  NC-Suffolk University/USAToday: Biden +3
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Author Topic: NC-Suffolk University/USAToday: Biden +3  (Read 1119 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: September 17, 2020, 06:20:40 AM »

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2020, 06:24:08 AM »

5% of Jorgensen voters passed a LV screen? How?

If we really keep getting these 46-43, 45-43 2016-type polls, then NC will be a straight tossup right thru Election Day and could go either way.
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Granite City
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« Reply #2 on: September 17, 2020, 06:27:00 AM »



Very odd choice to ask about education and not weight by it.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3 on: September 17, 2020, 06:28:48 AM »

Favorabilities:

Biden 48/46 (+2)
Harris 43/44 (-1)
Pence 38/48 (-10)
Trump 41/54 (-13)
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VAR
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« Reply #4 on: September 17, 2020, 06:33:42 AM »

Trump 43-42 sample. They clearly oversampled people who voted third-party in 2016.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5 on: September 17, 2020, 06:35:50 AM »

Trump 43-42 sample. They clearly oversampled people who voted third-party in 2016.

Yep, looking at the crosstabs, like 6% of the sample are Libertarians alone which seems... very high.

Do their national polls not weight by ed either?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: September 17, 2020, 06:44:30 AM »

NC, having Early voting so early, if definately gonna help Biden, Trump is finish if he loses AZ, NC or FL
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #7 on: September 17, 2020, 06:52:31 AM »

Do they have a high/low turnout numbers?
Because 538 shows Biden +4.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #8 on: September 17, 2020, 07:01:03 AM »

They did a severely limited "lean" for undecided voters, where like 10 went to Biden and 6 went to Trump, so I think that pushed it to Biden 47 - Trump 43
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #9 on: September 17, 2020, 07:07:16 AM »

Do they have a high/low turnout numbers?
Because 538 shows Biden +4.

The numbers were 46.2%-42.8% Biden without rounding.

There were 6 leaners going to Biden (+1%) and 2 to Trump (n.c.), so 47-43.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #10 on: September 17, 2020, 10:33:34 AM »

500 likely voters

Refused 1%
Other 0% (some voters)
Hawkins (G) 0% (some voters)
Blankenship (C) 0% (no voters)
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MplsDem
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« Reply #11 on: September 17, 2020, 10:51:40 AM »

Nearly 48% of the sample has a Bachelor's degree or higher.  I don't know the 2016 numbers from NC off the top of my head, but 48% seems really high.
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