UT-Hinckley Institute/Scott Rasmussen: Trump +18

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Utah President by Hinckley Institute on 2020-09-12

Summary: D: 35%, R: 53%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

Nice to see a poll of Utah! I wonder how Kanye is doing. I could see him doing “really well” here (read: 3%). Though perhaps not. Kinda hard to say. Comes down to how the Mormons want to protest Trump.

[Tender Branson]

Nice to see a poll of Utah! I wonder how Kanye is doing. I could see him doing “really well” here (read: 3%). Though perhaps not. Kinda hard to say. Comes down to how the Mormons want to protest Trump.

Kanye hasn’t really registered more than 1% support in states where he’s on the ballot ...

Is he even running ads or something in those 12 states ?

[Jay 🏳️‍⚧️]

Biden's actually doing quite well here! It was always going to be a fool's errand to expect Trump to get 45.5% here again, but it seems he's holding his own and getting a good chunk of vote that Clinton didn't

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

Nice to see a poll of Utah! I wonder how Kanye is doing. I could see him doing “really well” here (read: 3%). Though perhaps not. Kinda hard to say. Comes down to how the Mormons want to protest Trump.

Kanye hasn’t really registered more than 1% support in states where he’s on the ballot ...

Is he even running ads or something in those 12 states ?

I don’t even know what he’s doing at this point. Other than peeing on his Grammy. So, thinking about that, 3% in a poll might be too high of an estimate especially for Utah.

[DaleCooper]

Nice to see a poll of Utah! I wonder how Kanye is doing. I could see him doing “really well” here (read: 3%). Though perhaps not. Kinda hard to say. Comes down to how the Mormons want to protest Trump.

I suspect that almost any voter who knows who Kanye is already knows that he's a diehard Trump supporter and probably also knows that his campaign was started in collaboration with Trump's administration, so I actually kind of doubt that he'll get many protest votes here.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Changes with July 7-August 1 poll:

Trump 53% (+3)
Biden 35% (+4)
Jorgensen 5% (+2)
Other 1%  (-3)
Hawkins 0% (-1)
Not sure 6% (-5)

[Tender Branson]

UT will be among Jo's best states, but still a far cry from 2016 third-party levels ...

[cg41386]

Oh my heck!

[Badger]

Trump may not hit 60% here in November. Though I doubt Biden hits 40.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I'm sure it will never happen, but I'd love to see the outcome here if Romney endorsed Biden.

[ChrisMcDanielWasRobbed]

LOL! TRUMP WINS

[Eraserhead]

UT will be among Jo's best states, but still a far cry from 2016 third-party levels ...

This is one state where she can probably beat Johnson 2016 in.

[Spark]

About what I expect here in Utah.

[Stuart98]

No surprises here. Expect something like 58-39 on election day.

[Hope For A New Era]

Sad that there's no Bluetah, but still impressive. That would be the best Democratic performance in the state since 1968.

I wonder how high he can get. 40% would be cool.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Perhaps we overestimate how much this state would end up supporting Trump this year. Sure, they're giving him a majority of the vote now, but for it to still be this close, relatively speaking,and without a McMullin type, is a real surprise if this holds up.

[Stuart98]

Perhaps we overestimate how much this state would end up supporting Trump this year. Sure, they're giving him a majority of the vote now, but for it to still be this close, relatively speaking,and without a McMullin type, is a real surprise if this holds up.

Well over half the state is never voting for anyone with a D next to their name because of abortion. Better to vote for the incompetent bigot than a respectable man who believes in women's right to choose.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Biden's actually doing quite well here! It was always going to be a fool's errand to expect Trump to get 45.5% here again, but it seems he's holding his own and getting a good chunk of vote that Clinton didn't

This is also with Uncle Scotty's special sauce.  I think UT will be a Trump win of around 12-15%.

[We Live in Black and White]

Biden's actually doing quite well here! It was always going to be a fool's errand to expect Trump to get 45.5% here again, but it seems he's holding his own and getting a good chunk of vote that Clinton didn't

This is also with Uncle Scotty's special sauce.  I think UT will be a Trump win of around 12-15%.

Numbers which play out nicely for one Ben McAdams, because I highly suspect the Salt Lake metro is going to be Bidentown.