UT - Lighthouse Research/Salt Lake Tribune: GOV: Cox +36%, AG: Reyes +21% (user search)
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December 02, 2021, 07:34:10 PM

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  UT - Lighthouse Research/Salt Lake Tribune: GOV: Cox +36%, AG: Reyes +21% (search mode)
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Author Topic: UT - Lighthouse Research/Salt Lake Tribune: GOV: Cox +36%, AG: Reyes +21%  (Read 221 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Concerned Citizen
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Posts: 7,691


« on: September 16, 2020, 11:28:57 AM »
« edited: September 16, 2020, 12:03:42 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

https://www.sltrib.com/news/politics/2020/09/16/utah-debate-commission

August 31 - September 12
2000 registered voters

Cox 55%
Peterson 20%

Herbert won 66.7%-28.7% in 2016.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,691


« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2020, 11:56:24 AM »
« Edited: September 16, 2020, 12:03:33 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

It appears the MoE of 4.38% is for the statewide sample (if I am interpreting the Tweet correctly).
Margins are pre-rounding, hence the discrepancy between the UTGOV margin and the UTGOV topline.

MoE: 4.38%


Gubernatorial:
Cottam (L) 5%
Duerden (Independent American Party) 3%
Other 3%
Undecided 15%

The Independent American Party should not be confused with the Judean People's Front (far right) American Independent Party.

Attorney general :
Reyes (R) 46%
Skordas (D) 25%
Bautista (L) (no, not that one) 5%
Other 0% (no voters)
Undecided 23%

Reyes won his 2016 race 65.4%-25.1%.

Weirdly, the statewide sample is listed in the Tweet as 500 but on 538 as 2000. I assume there's a mistake in the Tweet as the districts have 500 each so presumably sample sizes have been scaled down by a factor of four.
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